# PSL Cricket

> Closed. Final outcome: Peshawar Zalmi. Last odds frozen 4 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/psl-cricket
Updated: 2026-05-04T18:50:19.539Z
Category: sports
Status: resolved
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 63% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $999
- Resolved: Peshawar Zalmi

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peshawar Zalmi | 95¢ | ±0 | $996 | kalshi | /markets/will-peshawar-zalmi-win-the-pakistan-super-league-kalshi-kxpsl-26-pza |
| Islamabad United | 30¢ | +27pp | $3 | kalshi | /markets/will-islamabad-united-win-the-pakistan-super-leagu-kalshi-kxpsl-26-isl |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | 10 |
| 2026-04-25 | 29 |
| 2026-05-02 | 53 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_16 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Islamabad United +27pp 3→30¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that PSL Cricket will achieve a specified outcome or milestone. At 54%, the market is pricing this as a roughly even-odds proposition, indicating substantial uncertainty. The current level likely reflects PSL's established position as a major cricket franchise league balanced against specific performance or structural uncertainties—such as team performance targets, viewership metrics, sponsorship renewals, or competitive standing. The resolution will depend on measurable data points that can be objectively verified, whether tournament results, financial targets, or regulatory approvals. Key upcoming events or data releases in the PSL calendar would be the primary catalyst for movement, as concrete results replace speculation.

### Key factors

- PSL league structure, participation, and confirmed calendar for the 2026 season and beyond
- Recent viewership trends, sponsorship commitments, and financial performance of PSL franchises
- Competitive performance of the teams involved, including player acquisitions and retention outcomes
- Regulatory or political developments affecting cricket operations in Pakistan and participating regions
- Comparative strength of rival franchise leagues and their impact on PSL's market position

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/psl-cricket
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=psl-cricket

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.