# Punjab FC vs. Chennaiyin FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 76%, runner-up 53% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:35:54.730Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 76%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 53%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $11

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc96e5995a3b2a03759e2d3b020aec39918bede7209a7043088e0778a6565fab9 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $8 | polymarket | /markets/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x00978f1734079cc849566fb7b59c9883f0f34bea7a5f05dc930b9a44c36b23af |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xa314580e6e29bd6c4e7796701f4f8995ba93e24e5cc8ec4fd7913022245ccaef |
| Punjab FC (-1.5) | 39¢ | −1pp | $3 | polymarket | /markets/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets-punjab-fc-polymarket-0xea81e11adacd16d06cc52afd8e83cd1864dc58b62135f7e7931fbb9b70da2c80 |
| O/U 3.5 | 32¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xde82bd61eb15051e9a093f4db345ac1e87403fc4a660fde9683b33b148d12d3b |
| Punjab FC (-2.5) | 19¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets-punjab-fc-polymarket-0xf050855675a37fa61bee010f76040fcccc1e7388076b6c3c95507ed6bae94bba |
| O/U 4.5 | 17¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xea5c99998c5167045ae44947cbe01e59a83ccaff0e5d390026f2f36911c60287 |
| Chennaiyin FC (-1.5) | 12¢ | −9pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets-chennaiyin-polymarket-0xe90e3810377c1553791828ca1cf7e4237e6623f06edc480de370870cbfcfe80f |
| Chennaiyin FC (-2.5) | 10¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets-chennaiyin-polymarket-0x3e25235f26e90d3bb787304f7653c6e3574dccdb1d5a88f66c40aea9a6139dc1 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | — | — | 52 |
| 2026-05-02 | 73 | 51 | 51 |
| 2026-05-03 | 75 | — | 51 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Chennaiyin FC (-1.5) −10pp 37→27¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Chennaiyin FC (-1.5) −9pp 27→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Punjab FC (-2.5) −6pp 36→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Chennaiyin FC (-2.5) −6pp 36→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Chennaiyin FC (-2.5) −4pp 30→26¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 51% probability reflects the market's current assessment that Punjab FC is favored to win their matchup against Chennaiyin FC, though the outcome remains uncertain. The leading contract on Polymarket is priced at 65 cents, indicating investors believe Punjab has a meaningful edge. Key factors influencing this probability include the recent form and head-to-head record of both teams, their defensive and offensive statistics, and player availability through injuries or suspensions. The main resolution catalyst is the scheduled match itself, which will determine the outcome definitively. Volume on this contract ($500 in 24-hour trading) suggests moderate market interest, though the relatively narrow gap between leader and runner-up positions (51% vs 39%) indicates material disagreement among participants about which team will prevail. Shifts in probability would likely follow team news, lineup announcements, or significant betting activity from sophisticated participants.

### Key factors

- Punjab FC is priced at 65 cents on the primary contract versus 35 cents implied for Chennaiyin FC, establishing clear market favoritism
- 24-hour trading volume of $500 on the top contract indicates reasonable liquidity but relatively concentrated interest versus other events
- Runner-up position holds 39% implied probability, showing substantial disagreement and lack of overwhelming consensus
- Match outcome depends on factors including current league standing, head-to-head history, injury status, and recent form of both squads
- The spread between top contract (51%) and runner-up (39%) leaves 10% unaccounted, suggesting meaningful uncertainty or fragmentation across the five bound contracts

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=punjab-fc-vs-chennaiyin-fc-more-markets

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