# Pyramids FC vs. ENPPI - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pyramids-fc-vs-enppi-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-07T06:35:43.886Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Probability: 46% (liquidity-weighted across 4 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $748

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) | 9¢ | −20pp | $384 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0x2ae2ebd1fd8f36dee4140d1e5d50addade8319b01b9486d126f98e2e54d468c8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 64¢ | — | $254 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xd0a2f0efd684af9051d535ebfb688b7037a3996508900509e3edc8d229d702d4 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $82 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x4612ca5173a5a4fcf85507aeb04a8592bc10dda7e82aa160ccf2a48ee08c3182 |
| O/U 2.5 | 57¢ | — | $28 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x64562d2a13d04c9e590ca640c26a2f7cce42de7a8e7a0056e3ffc7c4226092f6 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 28 |
| 2026-05-03 | 26 |
| 2026-05-06 | 35 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) −20pp 26→6¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that Pyramids FC versus ENPPI will generate additional betting or derivative markets beyond standard match outcomes. The 46% level suggests moderate uncertainty about whether this fixture will attract sufficient interest or liquidity to justify expanded market offerings. The main factors driving the probability are the historical popularity of Egyptian Premier League derbies (Pyramids and ENPPI are both Cairo-based clubs with established fan bases) and the trading volume that typically follows high-profile domestic fixtures. Market depth depends on both the match significance—league standing implications, cup competition status—and the timing of when the fixture is scheduled. The upcoming match date itself serves as the primary resolution event; if the fixture occurs and generates substantial trading activity, additional markets would likely materialize. Conversely, low engagement or fixture postponement would reduce the probability. Current contract volumes on related Chinese Super League matches are minimal, suggesting limited overall interest in expanded markets across Asian football more broadly.

### Key factors

- Pyramids FC and ENPPI are both major Cairo clubs; historical derbies typically attract high engagement and may justify secondary markets
- Current aggregated probability of 46% reflects genuine uncertainty rather than consensus, with most related contracts showing minimal 24-hour trading volume
- The fixture's league importance, cup competition status, and scheduled date will determine whether it generates sufficient interest to trigger additional market creation
- Comparable Egyptian football fixtures and international precedent show similar derbies sometimes generate O/U and spread markets, but this is not guaranteed
- Market resolution depends on actual fixture occurrence and subsequent trading behavior, not pre-match predictions alone

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pyramids-fc-vs-enppi-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pyramids-fc-vs-enppi-more-markets

## License

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