# Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 40 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/qingdao-hainiu-fc-vs-shandong-taishan-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T12:05:49.323Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $191

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41¢ | −1pp | $63 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-shangha-polymarket-0x0f12adbd65214f510e481ce8046e4ee5734fc989a91112d97336a7b76b954df5 |
| O/U 3.5 | 44¢ | −1pp | $59 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x20d721738ab4675ffa74b9658dd81047ccf230ec9b96336135e3735e94b32fe8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC | 47¢ | +2pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-wuhan-san-z-polymarket-0x13b64b20aec5484de695c175fc83653c6671149e66c58a995f23b5be8c114305 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $9 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x4612ca5173a5a4fcf85507aeb04a8592bc10dda7e82aa160ccf2a48ee08c3182 |
| Draw (Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC) | 26¢ | −5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-draw-wuhan-polymarket-0xcb984a86b009388c0361c32ccf09d81328c6629be9d3010e03dd22cba7cd8b64 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 26¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1602b23f36593f063d4bdf5db9da4245b4e51d9bff1ad87aaa3e85c80ca85c4d |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC | 27¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-qingdao-hai-polymarket-0xe80fa6dbaafe3f0d6942ab9d0c5769012d377cfe29b0dfce780d8037c488291b |
| Both Teams to Score | 69¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xb2fdfb8de0743d7ba6a7a5835df26366390bc9537760bbee863cd9faf1fb12fc |
| O/U 1.5 | 79¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0xa6d2ed5ae5c5a9f3b67c323f81a8216deee79032e11085e5848626609519c989 |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) | 16¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0xe6edf9359ec8f3ca84b5a1d474edd4a7b574194365db9a5b0ec0756162d2c991 |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) | 25¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x68a5efb32f51a94834a60e1e79068b17262315d8dcb8f52ba6f967870ccfcb41 |
| Shandong Taishan FC | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-shandon-polymarket-0x11820e64641a61ae7789c65e3ae2f6f7e68192630ef0fabfd50ba5a7852e21ac |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5) | 26¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x9559fd3f08ed6ff16d17ffc65d1b32b6eabb5eca2348f004b79e1881ab41f68f |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 23¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8d6eb4f5d9e21c96b0f4c100d768dcfa9ea0097371df2529c8c2da80fe4a11cc |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) | 11¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xfa1d79e42042a326c79bb4164ff4aaf0f964bfe6fc4195239c680ba8bd478e45 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x0d83fdd44cf54b1b66c7f96e683ca487980275d68a67b0d606d3a3fcaa7c83c0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x3b694c4fb8c0dd7ba77236853ba91a7d7dc8ae94d16642105f47667b68b62e12 |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x09142591c531b9321c5237ee59cfad2011a123a0a3bad39becc20ffa835755b9 |
| O/U 1.5 | 85¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1e5ceb71d2fbe14c5f576121a77a821abdc80bab7e6e28a361e7bcea69b9d94f |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 44 |
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 35 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) −10pp 26→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) +6pp 23→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Qingdao Hainiu FC −6pp 39→33¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Qingdao Hainiu FC −6pp 33→27¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) +6pp 26→32¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/qingdao-hainiu-fc-vs-shandong-taishan-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=qingdao-hainiu-fc-vs-shandong-taishan-fc

## License

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