# Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 73%, runner-up 53% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 11 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:05:50.211Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 73%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 53%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $54

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2c997e8ea7dec3233847fdf312db2526bf2927fe76a623a176ba361e243e95c4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x20d0cdeeaa15b01dd351b84751f46ee1a936321d6ca22b9115f7dd02d152a5ef |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | ±0 | $10 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8c7c03c972df3c78569568b6d77b24c6d573ba28a550321416fef8f87b53b8bb |
| O/U 3.5 | 25¢ | −1pp | $44 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8508f6f66547a3d128b727e49434f7a9aa93f3e01d02cea7b55b4698e26c067a |
| O/U 4.5 | 20¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2251c76451147ffe2e3d62aa4b91b9f3a498227a73f944c285db6a7ce9c1d389 |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5) | 19¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x817c8ed93d0ba366891ef64aafa93c326c0c3de3cd93c5ed40dd449b9b72fc3f |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5) | 10¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x9e39af4fa5b0c2c2c5a28f6b36fcc6c9f082692202744c70c5866856ec1bbb75 |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5) | 8¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x6ffa32b3fe4389869e2525bd7365949c713bc91b8a65b665a535047d17e5eeea |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x3ed80522e974fdc46cee79f4dca0a45753bc0bab4a563b6fdfe5f982d945a3e4 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 72 | 53 | 47 |
| 2026-05-02 | 73 | 53 | 47 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5) +10pp 25→35¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 4.5 +10pp 16→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5) −9pp 29→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5) −7pp 30→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 4.5 −5pp 21→16¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This 52% probability indicates traders assess a higher than even-money chance that both Qingdao Xihaian FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC will score in their matchup. The probability reflects market expectations about offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities in this Chinese football fixture. Trading volume remains modest at $91 across contracts, suggesting limited consensus. The outcome hinges on whether either team can contain the other's scoring threats and capitalize on available chances. The match itself serves as the immediate resolution point—traders are effectively pricing recent form, team quality, and head-to-head tendencies leading into kickoff. Historical scoring patterns between these clubs and current-season goal-scoring rates will be primary inputs for any position reassessment. Relative to the underdog Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC contract trading at 28¢, the Both Teams to Score price implies reasonable balance in competitive quality.

### Key factors

- Qingdao leads the head-to-head win probability at 45¢ vs. Tianjin's 28¢, suggesting modest offensive advantage but insufficient to strongly suppress mutual scoring expectations
- Recent season goal-scoring efficiency and defensive records for both clubs will determine whether 52% reflects realistic two-way offensive threat or overprices one team's weakness
- 24-hour trading volume of $91 on the win contracts indicates low liquidity and potential for sharp moves if new information (team news, lineup changes) surfaces before kickoff
- The related Over/Under 2.5 goal market pricing at 47¢ suggests traders expect 2–3 total goals, which is compatible with but not dependent on both teams scoring
- Match date and kick-off time relative to squad availability, injuries, or other fixture congestion could shift offensive focus or defensive organization

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-markets

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