# Racing Louisville FC vs. Orlando Pride

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 34% across 20 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/racing-louisville-fc-vs-orlando-pride
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:51:04.163Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 34% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 37% / Polymarket 32% — 5pp spread
- 24h volume: $44

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gotham | 23¢ | +1pp | $31 | kalshi | /markets/gotham-vs-racing-louisville-winner-gotham-kalshi-kxnwslgame-26may03gotrac-got |
| GIANTX PRIDE | 36¢ | — | $9 | kalshi | /markets/will-giantx-pride-win-the-giantx-pride-vs-bara-esp-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may061400gxpbar-gxp |
| Racing Louisville | 11¢ | +3pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/gotham-vs-racing-louisville-winner-racing-louisvil-kalshi-kxnwslgame-26may03gotrac-rac |
| GIANTX PRIDE | 37¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-giantx-pride-win-map-1-in-the-giantx-pride-vs-kalshi-kxlolmap-26may061400gxpbar-1-gxp |
| Barça eSports | 54¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bara-esports-win-map-1-in-the-giantx-pride-vs-kalshi-kxlolmap-26may061400gxpbar-1-bar |
| GIANTX PRIDE | 34¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-giantx-pride-win-map-2-in-the-giantx-pride-vs-kalshi-kxlolmap-26may061400gxpbar-2-gxp |
| Barça eSports | 57¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bara-esports-win-the-giantx-pride-vs-bara-esp-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may061400gxpbar-bar |
| Botafogo FR (-2.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-botafogo-f-polymarket-0x50a3e558463a15a07f4a2cf28e50c9f22ed79f5575401475ea57e33d93a4ff1a |
| Racing Club (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-racing-clu-polymarket-0x15e436257d2a94c17744fc777abb55ec9373f67f1587cd55fa8a7f6c22a084a3 |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x32d4ab3bd3997a305ae20a572bdf97c7dcabb1f001475fb23cd632c4697e3c4b |
| O/U 3.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x9bdf90f99d362aeb78ea9a8c83a91588de737a96a2b6ef02f29aaab646ee2be9 |
| O/U 4.5 | 15¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x5c8e4184d6f4024ab811a8317c5df79cc5beca815221eaca6fae9d323d39b6f1 |
| Over 2.5 maps | 45¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-25-maps-be-played-in-the-giantx-pride-vs-kalshi-kxloltotalmaps-26may061400gxpbar-3 |
| Racing Club (-1.5) | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-racing-clu-polymarket-0xc988a4434c1b06d250ae5edd9945b7d6f9a0a6027145f8c268ec1f6b992e7704 |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc91f8e08309e1027dabc6b2cda81f406f89051e264358b7bd9aea303ff73fc4a |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xd61678fa4fcefd059e3ba900fe3e6fea3c2fc0339c7dc74dc06327cafaefcc29 |
| Botafogo FR (-1.5) | 24¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-botafogo-f-polymarket-0xd6abb87ba0ae1a681305a13dbb470174bb33f26fe69013668ac49d89df162411 |
| Botafogo FR | 44¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-botafogo-fr-polymarket-0xc2f328a9557d0634689aa2e28c5c24a8ae411192805c067a3aac1632460b09e8 |
| Draw (Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club) | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-draw-botafogo-fr-vs-rac-polymarket-0x286a722d9d0d0a1383053184d59b641d9d28a706ea81056c2210efa32ba052c4 |
| Racing Club | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-racing-club-polymarket-0x788488e1672c2503844530ad04506562c0db40c96b110a220f14ba9d4a52e536 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 5 |
| 2026-05-01 | 5 |
| 2026-05-02 | 20 |
| 2026-05-03 | 29 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Gotham +3pp 5→8¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Racing Louisville +3pp 6→9¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/racing-louisville-fc-vs-orlando-pride
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=racing-louisville-fc-vs-orlando-pride

## License

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