# Racing Louisville FC vs. Portland Thorns FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5

> O/U 1.5 leads at 72%, runner-up 45% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/racing-louisville-fc-vs-portland-thorns-fc-more-markets-ou
Updated: 2026-05-08T00:20:23.995Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-08

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 72%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 45%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/racing-louisville-fc-vs-portland-thorns-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xbcb211362ff5b4564c03a74b52d1757cb9431a5d94bb5b04b15fb72847eccdb3 |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | +28pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/racing-louisville-fc-vs-portland-thorns-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x0ac39ea6b1568fb61c1cee6b9905442f74d4d2e59c27fb406e886d62716faf57 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | +28pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/racing-louisville-fc-vs-portland-thorns-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1a30db6e49b68621ad169a0d78c9e80bda4356774c9e42e8e5591cce7c021b01 |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/racing-louisville-fc-vs-portland-thorns-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xbe4a9a1082d8fe9c4aa8ef45599f75dee9edf2935d485249f3ad2400e1b15610 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | O/U 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 66 | 45 | 33 |
| 2026-05-07 | 72 | 48 | 39 |
| 2026-05-08 | 75 | 56 | 37 |
| 2026-05-09 | — | 84 | 65 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-09 · O/U 2.5 +28pp 56→84¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · O/U 3.5 +28pp 37→65¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · O/U 2.5 +8pp 48→56¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 1.5 +6pp 66→72¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 3.5 +6pp 33→39¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market estimates a 65% probability that the Racing Louisville FC vs. Portland Thorns FC match will produce more than 1.5 goals combined. The market reflects expectations about both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Related over/under markets at 2.5 (54%) and 3.5 (32%) goals show declining probability at higher thresholds, suggesting most traders expect a moderately low-scoring match rather than a goal fest. The resolution depends on the teams' recent form, injury status, and how each squad's scoring and defensive metrics compare. The match outcome will occur on its scheduled date and resolve definitively once final score is confirmed.

### Key factors

- Recent goal-scoring output for both Racing Louisville and Portland Thorns in the 2026 season compared to their season averages
- Defensive efficiency trends for each team, particularly goals conceded in recent fixtures
- Team news including available players, injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel, and starting XI composition
- Head-to-head historical scoring patterns between these specific opponents
- Current league standings and competitive pressure that might influence team tactical approach for this fixture

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/racing-louisville-fc-vs-portland-thorns-fc-more-markets-ou
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=racing-louisville-fc-vs-portland-thorns-fc-more-markets-ou

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.