# Rain in Dallas in Apr 2026

> Above 1 inch leads at 88%, runner-up 75% across 6 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/raindalm
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:42.814Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: Above 1 inch at 88%
- Runner-up: Above 2 inches at 75%
- Outcomes: 6 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1 inch | 88¢ | −2pp | $124 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-dallas-in-may-2026-above-1-inch-kalshi-kxraindalm-26may-1 |
| Above 2 inches | 75¢ | −1pp | $286 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-dallas-in-may-2026-above-2-inches-kalshi-kxraindalm-26may-2 |
| Above 3 inches | 54¢ | −6pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-dallas-in-may-2026-above-3-inches-kalshi-kxraindalm-26may-3 |
| Above 4 inches | 29¢ | −4pp | $19 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-dallas-in-may-2026-above-4-inches-kalshi-kxraindalm-26may-4 |
| Above 5 inches | 18¢ | −3pp | $408 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-dallas-in-may-2026-above-5-inches-kalshi-kxraindalm-26may-5 |
| Above 6 inches | 7¢ | ±0 | $92 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-dallas-in-may-2026-above-6-inches-kalshi-kxraindalm-26may-6 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above 1 inch | Above 2 inches | Above 3 inches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 94 | 82 | 65 |
| 2026-05-02 | — | 85 | 64 |
| 2026-05-03 | 95 | 81 | 54 |
| 2026-05-06 | 86 | 67 | 41 |
| 2026-05-07 | 88 | 71 | 48 |
| 2026-05-08 | 86 | 70 | 42 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Above 2 inches −14pp 81→67¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Above 3 inches −13pp 54→41¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Above 3 inches −10pp 64→54¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Above 1 inch −9pp 95→86¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Above 3 inches +7pp 41→48¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/raindalm
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=raindalm

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.