# Rain in Denver in Apr 2026

> Above 1 inch leads at 88%, runner-up 32% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/raindenm
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.343Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: Above 1 inch at 88%
- Runner-up: Above 2 inches at 32%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $798

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1 inch | 88¢ | −4pp | $189 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-denver-in-may-2026-above-1-inch-kalshi-kxraindenm-26may-1 |
| Above 2 inches | 32¢ | +3pp | $551 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-denver-in-may-2026-above-2-inches-kalshi-kxraindenm-26may-2 |
| Above 3 inches | 4¢ | +1pp | $42 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-denver-in-may-2026-above-3-inches-kalshi-kxraindenm-26may-3 |
| Above 5 inches | 4¢ | ±0 | $16 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-denver-in-may-2026-above-5-inches-kalshi-kxraindenm-26may-5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above 1 inch | Above 2 inches | Above 3 inches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 87 | 54 | 23 |
| 2026-05-02 | 83 | 45 | 21 |
| 2026-05-03 | 83 | — | 14 |
| 2026-05-06 | 93 | 38 | 9 |
| 2026-05-07 | 89 | 33 | 6 |
| 2026-05-08 | — | 36 | 7 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Above 1 inch +10pp 83→93¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Above 2 inches −9pp 54→45¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Above 2 inches −7pp 45→38¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Above 3 inches −7pp 21→14¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Above 2 inches −5pp 38→33¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/raindenm
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=raindenm

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.