# Rain in Houston in Apr 2026

> Above 3 inches leads at 96%, runner-up 79% across 5 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/rainhoum
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.661Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: Above 3 inches at 96%
- Runner-up: Above 4 inches at 79%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3 inches | 96¢ | −2pp | $140 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-houston-in-may-2026-above-3-inches-kalshi-kxrainhoum-26may-3 |
| Above 4 inches | 79¢ | −2pp | $179 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-houston-in-may-2026-above-4-inches-kalshi-kxrainhoum-26may-4 |
| Above 5 inches | 61¢ | −8pp | $743 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-houston-in-may-2026-above-5-inches-kalshi-kxrainhoum-26may-5 |
| Above 6 inches | 42¢ | +1pp | $563 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-houston-in-may-2026-above-6-inches-kalshi-kxrainhoum-26may-6 |
| Above 7 inches | 23¢ | −6pp | $649 | kalshi | /markets/rain-in-houston-in-may-2026-above-7-inches-kalshi-kxrainhoum-26may-7 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above 3 inches | Above 4 inches | Above 5 inches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 86 | 86 | 71 |
| 2026-05-02 | 96 | 88 | 77 |
| 2026-05-03 | — | 87 | 74 |
| 2026-05-06 | — | 88 | 73 |
| 2026-05-07 | 97 | 88 | 65 |
| 2026-05-08 | 95 | 86 | — |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Above 3 inches +10pp 86→96¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Above 5 inches −8pp 73→65¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Above 6 inches −8pp 52→44¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Above 5 inches +6pp 71→77¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Above 7 inches −6pp 35→29¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/rainhoum
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=rainhoum

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.