# Will The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 48% across 9 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistdjmagclubs
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.778Z
Category: general · Topic: election-2026
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-31

## Headline

- Probability: 48% (liquidity-weighted across 9 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hï Ibiza | 91¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-h-ibiza-be-in-the-top-5-on-dj-mag-top-100-clu-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagclubs-26dec-hii |
| GREENVALLEY | 89¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-greenvalley-be-in-the-top-5-on-dj-mag-top-100-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagclubs-26dec-gre |
| Ushuaïa Ibiza | 87¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ushuaa-ibiza-be-in-the-top-5-on-dj-mag-top-10-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagclubs-26dec-ush |
| The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield | 69¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-warehouse-project-at-depot-mayfield-be-in-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagclubs-26dec-war |
| Echostage | 34¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-echostage-be-in-the-top-5-on-dj-mag-top-100-c-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagclubs-26dec-ech |
| Savaya | 47¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-savaya-be-in-the-top-5-on-dj-mag-top-100-club-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagclubs-26dec-sav |
| Bootshaus | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bootshaus-be-in-the-top-5-on-dj-mag-top-100-c-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagclubs-26dec-boo |
| Laroc Club | 7¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-laroc-club-be-in-the-top-5-on-dj-mag-top-100-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagclubs-26dec-lar |
| Illuzion Phuket | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-illuzion-phuket-be-in-the-top-5-on-dj-mag-top-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagclubs-26dec-ill |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | 70 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield has a 48% probability of ranking in DJ Mag's Top 100 Clubs list, based on aggregated predictions from Kalshi contracts. This venue, located in Manchester, is a prominent electronic music venue with an established reputation. The probability reflects uncertainty about whether it will meet the publication's selection criteria, which typically emphasize international recognition, consistent programming, and cultural impact. Key drivers include the venue's current club programming quality, international artist bookings, and how it compares to other major venues globally being considered for ranking. The main resolution point occurs when DJ Mag publishes its annual Top 100 Clubs rankings, typically released in the second half of the year, which will definitively show whether the venue appears in the top five or lower on the list.

### Key factors

- The venue's track record of securing headline electronic and house music acts versus competing clubs in Europe and globally
- DJ Mag's ranking methodology, which prioritizes venues based on cultural influence, artist caliber, and international reputation in electronic music
- Recent attendance figures and capacity utilization data for Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield relative to other ranked venues
- The timing and quality of major events or residencies scheduled at the venue before the DJ Mag rankings publication date
- Competitive positioning against other Manchester venues and established top-ranking clubs in Europe that may be considered for higher placement

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistdjmagclubs
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ranklistdjmagclubs
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

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