# Will Steve Aoki be in the Top 10 on DJ Mag Top 100 DJ's

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 56% across 16 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistdjmagtop10
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:41.212Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-31

## Headline

- Probability: 56% (liquidity-weighted across 16 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (16 contracts)
- 24h volume: $166

## Bound contracts (16)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Summit | 11¢ | +2pp | $166 | kalshi | /markets/will-john-summit-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-10-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-joh |
| David Guetta | 92¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-david-guetta-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-1-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-dav |
| Martin Garrix | 90¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-martin-garrix-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-mar |
| Alok | 90¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-alok-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-100-djs-a-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-alo |
| Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike | 89¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dimitri-vegas-like-mike-be-in-the-top-10-on-d-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-dim |
| Armin Van Buuren | 89¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-armin-van-buuren-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-t-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-arm |
| Timmy Trumpet | 69¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-timmy-trumpet-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-tim |
| FISHER | 74¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-fisher-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-100-djs-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-fis |
| Afrojack | 64¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-afrojack-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-100-d-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-afr |
| Charlotte de Witte | 84¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-charlotte-de-witte-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-char |
| Anyma | 84¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-anyma-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-100-djs-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-any |
| Vintage Culture | 9¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-vintage-culture-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-to-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-vini |
| Peggy Gou | 14¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-peggy-gou-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-100-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-peg |
| Don Diablo | 24¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-don-diablo-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-100-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-don |
| Calvin Harris | 14¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-calvin-harris-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-cal |
| Black Coffee | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-black-coffee-be-in-the-top-10-on-dj-mag-top-1-kalshi-kxranklistdjmagtop10-26dec-bla |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 9 |
| 2026-04-14 | 85 |
| 2026-05-08 | 11 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This prediction asks whether Steve Aoki will rank in the top 10 of DJ Mag's annual Top 100 DJs list. The 51% probability indicates near-parity between those expecting him to achieve this ranking and those who don't. Aoki's current standing, recent chart performance, and voting patterns from previous years significantly influence this forecast. The main factors at play are his streaming numbers and cultural relevance relative to competing electronic music artists, as well as DJ Mag's editorial selection process, which blends reader voting with expert judgment. The primary catalyst resolving this uncertainty will be DJ Mag's publication of their next annual rankings, typically released in a specific month. Historical positioning suggests Aoki remains a prominent figure in electronic music, but competitive pressure from emerging and established producers affects his likelihood of maintaining or reaching top-10 status.

### Key factors

- Steve Aoki's streaming rank and annual listener count on major platforms relative to other top electronic music DJs
- His placement in the previous DJ Mag Top 100 list and the historical volatility of his position year-over-year
- Release of new music or high-profile collaborations between now and the publication date that could influence voter perception
- DJ Mag voting methodology changes or shifts in the electronic music fanbase's preferences
- The scheduled publication date of DJ Mag's next Top 100 DJs ranking list

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistdjmagtop10
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ranklistdjmagtop10

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.