# Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top D/ST

> 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Los Angeles R D/ST leads at 25%, runner-up 18% across 18 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 52 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistffdst
Updated: 2026-06-26T13:20:49.505Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-02-01

## Headline

- Leader: 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Los Angeles R D/ST at 25%
- Runner-up: 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Houston D/ST at 18%
- Outcomes: 18 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (18 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (18)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Los Angeles R D/ST | 25¢ | −4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-lar |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Houston D/ST | 18¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-hou |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Atlanta D/ST | 7¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-atl |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Green Bay D/ST | 7¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-gb |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Cleveland D/ST | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-cle |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Detroit D/ST | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-det |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Indianapolis D/ST | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-ind |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Kansas City D/ST | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-kc |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Las Vegas D/ST | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-lv |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Los Angeles C D/ST | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-lac |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Miami D/ST | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-mia |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Arizona D/ST | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-ari |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Baltimore D/ST | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-bal |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Buffalo D/ST | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-buf |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Carolina D/ST | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-car |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Chicago D/ST | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-chi |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Denver D/ST | 3¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-den |
| 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Jacksonville D/ST | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-fantasy-football-2026-27-season-top-ds-kalshi-kxranklistffdst-27-jax |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Los Angeles R D/ST | 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Houston D/ST | 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Atlanta D/ST |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | — | — | 7 |
| 2026-06-16 | — | 19 | — |
| 2026-06-17 | — | 20 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | 29 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | — | 12 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | 25 | 10 | — |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-22 · 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Houston D/ST −8pp 20→12¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-23 · 2026-27 Season Top D/ST?: Los Angeles R D/ST −4pp 29→25¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This market estimates the probability that a specific NFL defense/special teams unit will finish as the top-scoring fantasy asset at their position during the 2026-27 season. The 3% probability assigned to the leading contenders reflects the inherent unpredictability of season-long performance: defensive rankings depend on schedule strength, coaching changes, player health, and trade activity between now and September 2026. Currently, Seattle, Dallas, and Houston are tied as favorites, suggesting roughly equal perceived chances. The market will likely consolidate once preseason schedules are released and rosters finalize in late August 2026, introducing more concrete information about defensive line strength, secondary quality, and coaching staff. Resolution occurs after the regular season ends in January 2027, when official fantasy scoring totals determine the winner.

### Key factors

- Defensive personnel turnover and free agency signings between May 2026 and September 2026 could substantially alter roster quality for any of the three leading teams
- Strength of schedule variations significantly impact total fantasy points; teams facing weaker offenses accumulate sack and turnover statistics at different rates
- Coaching changes, including defensive coordinator hiring or scheme adjustments, affect defensive output and fantasy point generation
- Preseason performance and training camp reports in August 2026 will provide concrete evidence of roster improvements or injuries, likely causing probability shifts
- The equal 3% pricing across three different franchises suggests low confidence in differentiation; any team-specific news could create market-wide repricing

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistffdst
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ranklistffdst

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.
