# Will Baby Keem be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs Global chart in April 2026

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 36% across 7 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistsongspotglobal
Updated: 2026-05-03T20:35:56.789Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 36% (liquidity-weighted across 7 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Swift | 49¢ | +1pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-taylor-swift-be-1-on-the-any-spotify-daily-to-kalshi-kxranklistsongspotglobal-26jun01-tay |
| Michael Jackson | 42¢ | +5pp | $662 | kalshi | /markets/will-michael-jackson-be-1-on-the-any-spotify-daily-kalshi-kxranklistsongspotglobal-26jun01-mic |
| Madonna | 3¢ | ±0 | $100 | kalshi | /markets/will-madonna-be-1-on-the-any-spotify-daily-top-son-kalshi-kxranklistsongspotglobal-26jun01-mad |
| BTS | 6¢ | −29pp | $58 | kalshi | /markets/will-bts-be-1-on-the-any-spotify-daily-top-songs-g-kalshi-kxranklistsongspotglobal-26jun01-bts |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 60¢ | +9pp | $50 | kalshi | /markets/will-olivia-rodrigo-be-1-on-the-any-spotify-daily-kalshi-kxranklistsongspotglobal-26jun01-olii |
| Drake | 86¢ | +19pp | $29 | kalshi | /markets/will-drake-be-1-on-the-any-spotify-daily-top-songs-kalshi-kxranklistsongspotglobal-26jun01-dra |
| Dominic Fike | 6¢ | −1pp | $16 | kalshi | /markets/will-dominic-fike-be-1-on-the-any-spotify-daily-to-kalshi-kxranklistsongspotglobal-26jun01-dom |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | 24 |
| 2026-04-30 | 35 |
| 2026-05-01 | 40 |
| 2026-05-02 | 29 |
| 2026-05-03 | 23 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-01 · BTS +38pp 29→67¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Dominic Fike −33pp 40→7¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · BTS −29pp 39→10¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · Drake +29pp 33→62¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · BTS −28pp 67→39¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistsongspotglobal
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ranklistsongspotglobal

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.