# Will BE HER be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of May 2, 2026

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 45% across 11 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistsongtop10
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:42.989Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-11

## Headline

- Probability: 45% (liquidity-weighted across 11 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (11 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (11)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE HER | 94¢ | +20pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-be-her-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-100-dur-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-beh |
| Choosin' Texas | 66¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-choosin-texas-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-cho |
| DAISIES | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-daisies-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-100-du-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-dai |
| Doors | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-doors-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-100-duri-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-doo |
| Dracula | 5¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dracula-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-100-du-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-dra |
| drop dead | 27¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-drop-dead-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-100-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-dro |
| Folded | 78¢ | +21pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-folded-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-100-dur-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-fol |
| Golden | 39¢ | +11pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-golden-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-100-dur-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-gol |
| I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE | 28¢ | +11pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-i-cant-love-you-anymore-be-top-10-on-the-bill-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-ica |
| I Just Might | 75¢ | +21pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-i-just-might-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-1-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-iju |
| Man I Need | 75¢ | +21pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-man-i-need-be-top-10-on-the-billboard-hot-100-kalshi-kxranklistsongtop10-26may16-man |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | 62 |
| 2026-04-30 | 72 |
| 2026-05-09 | 44 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · I Just Might −66pp 72→6¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Man I Need −51pp 57→6¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Choosin' Texas −39pp 88→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Folded +38pp 17→55¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · BE HER +35pp 37→72¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ranklistsongtop10
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ranklistsongtop10

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.