# RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-07T06:50:47.727Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 77%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 59%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $61

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 77¢ | +18pp | $36 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x2195c5941536ecd4f1e6519856fc7eda857cc66864574a9f6c796a0fa6c848b0 |
| Both Teams to Score | 59¢ | +17pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xbb1f4e3c06abdaa9d6894e713107909cf902aab12c5482f14d1ba3112844b486 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | +14pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xfacf329d071c71c0e621aed92f7ea6d51f4dbb6808a0c19a37af16394b50cc9f |
| O/U 3.5 | 30¢ | +12pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x0f34a8315d776c3b376c264aee10351756fca5d7c1f06a873e29573e143d10f8 |
| RB Ōmiya Ardija (-1.5) | 17¢ | −16pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-rb-miya-ar-polymarket-0xe2879d9fbfb8ffdfcacb06244f7b469a2e0b78be928e96e7ba6e00f985234d3a |
| Iwaki FC (-1.5) | 16¢ | −19pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-iwaki-fc-1-polymarket-0x3783e682e06b1fb18c4edb552ef8009029daa4f54c6b0825698c751b4e6bbf0a |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | +11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x728f8967cf1e0065a59bf43f57b413130be54ee94dc766ada39d7a51d48d870a |
| RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5) | 6¢ | −18pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-rb-miya-ar-polymarket-0x8e56ccaf10780991a1cbf8bc446de44108e0b51ec36cca756c652d3564307711 |
| Iwaki FC (-2.5) | 6¢ | −24pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-iwaki-fc-2-polymarket-0x129775c572f0cf62732652b37b7a8fec962593b42b7d26e0ac29ef648cf5a1cd |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 63 | 52 | 51 |
| 2026-05-03 | 63 | 51 | 52 |
| 2026-05-06 | 81 | 68 | 66 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Iwaki FC (-2.5) −24pp 35→11¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Iwaki FC (-1.5) −19pp 36→17¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · O/U 1.5 +18pp 63→81¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5) −18pp 33→15¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Both Teams to Score +17pp 51→68¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects traders' assessment that RB Ōmiya Ardija and Iwaki FC have roughly equal likelihood of winning their matchup, with one outcome priced 17 percentage points higher than the second-place option. The current 50% probability suggests no clear consensus favorite, which typically reflects either balanced team strength, limited recent data, or disagreement about lineup or form. Movement in this probability would depend on updates to team injury status, recent results, or weather conditions affecting play. The match itself serves as the resolution event, making pre-match information like team news and starting lineups the primary catalysts for probability shifts in the hours before kickoff.

### Key factors

- Relative league position and recent win-loss records of both RB Ōmiya Ardija and Iwaki FC in their current competition
- Availability of key players due to injuries, suspensions, or other absences heading into the match
- Historical head-to-head record and goal differential in direct matchups between the two teams
- Market depth and trading volume relative to other soccer markets, indicating confidence level among traders
- Distance traveled and schedule fatigue if one team is playing their second match in a short window

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets

## License

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