# RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Ventforet Kōfu

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 14 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/rb-miya-ardija-vs-ventforet-kfu
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:20:55.902Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $29

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 56¢ | −2pp | $19 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc95a40ed69964b6bf80808a6feb48139a5d5b1f748f578c4ed28b0029609390b |
| RB Ōmiya Ardija | 47¢ | ±0 | $10 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-rb-miya-ardija-polymarket-0xa076bae09dc85da4c9c4dc5acf4ecd65494521eb7dec3b307865b59315c82f3d |
| O/U 1.5 | 68¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x2195c5941536ecd4f1e6519856fc7eda857cc66864574a9f6c796a0fa6c848b0 |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x728f8967cf1e0065a59bf43f57b413130be54ee94dc766ada39d7a51d48d870a |
| Júbilo Iwata (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-jbilo-iw-polymarket-0x077801ccd318481da22b45a47be6e7f377e225734b5d5f4608451ddefd153ead |
| Ventforet Kōfu | 51¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-ventforet-kfu-polymarket-0xda69dd67b32702248a1fdf939b379ea7c8201b93e73c1a33eb65247e6f1fca85 |
| RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5) | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-rb-miya-ar-polymarket-0x8e56ccaf10780991a1cbf8bc446de44108e0b51ec36cca756c652d3564307711 |
| Júbilo Iwata (-2.5) | 35¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-jbilo-iw-polymarket-0x9dc1f00053d8d17456f4ab9af1182cbbc8a244303bd6df5c8fe29a67c9da3abe |
| Ventforet Kōfu (-2.5) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ventfore-polymarket-0xcac6d64b5b91bbe848ae0f625e84a99d9898a73a5fce724a954fac491b71bece |
| Iwaki FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-iwaki-fc-2-polymarket-0x129775c572f0cf62732652b37b7a8fec962593b42b7d26e0ac29ef648cf5a1cd |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xdbabefa95197903ab01772852d0e379335c873592517f1d342f805a5ae4a231f |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x6ae87aada8ac044869602743e762f47975c5e8db09aba99b39fa32767636092d |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x35df374ce3e6fd83656a7376b8980d9a428a9cbd1eab32a2fdff65f2a7b00e4f |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x0f34a8315d776c3b376c264aee10351756fca5d7c1f06a873e29573e143d10f8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xbb1f4e3c06abdaa9d6894e713107909cf902aab12c5482f14d1ba3112844b486 |
| Draw (Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata) | 34¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-draw-ventforet-kfu-vs-polymarket-0x8b615bf029c7087ea75426f4483af357fb2d8ddeb2adf1109cbc7437cf877665 |
| Ventforet Kōfu (-1.5) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ventfore-polymarket-0xdb97994ff0f9f078764c0bfdce846d16220e7ad6a403a34e8d0bcae6e19e5f07 |
| Iwaki FC | 36¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-iwaki-fc-polymarket-0x3cb1b6a8097fd4f3d05c536f8df73d203a33e07447bae2776b92160617b05a45 |
| Iwaki FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-iwaki-fc-1-polymarket-0x3783e682e06b1fb18c4edb552ef8009029daa4f54c6b0825698c751b4e6bbf0a |
| RB Ōmiya Ardija (-1.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-rb-miya-ar-polymarket-0xe2879d9fbfb8ffdfcacb06244f7b469a2e0b78be928e96e7ba6e00f985234d3a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 41 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Júbilo Iwata (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Iwaki FC (-1.5) +3pp 33→36¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/rb-miya-ardija-vs-ventforet-kfu
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=rb-miya-ardija-vs-ventforet-kfu

## License

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