# Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 37% across 20 contracts — refreshed 11 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/real-salt-lake-vs-inter-miami-cf
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:05:50.164Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 37% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 38% / Polymarket 27% — 11pp spread
- 24h volume: $9K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heretics | 65¢ | +3pp | $7K | kalshi | /markets/will-miami-heretics-win-the-g2-minnesota-vs-miami-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031630g2mmh-mh |
| Miami Heretics | 63¢ | −2pp | $513 | kalshi | /markets/will-miami-heretics-win-map-3-in-the-g2-minnesota-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031630g2mmh-3-mh |
| G2 Minnesota | 28¢ | −7pp | $336 | kalshi | /markets/will-g2-minnesota-win-map-3-in-the-g2-minnesota-vs-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031630g2mmh-3-g2m |
| Miami Heretics | 54¢ | −2pp | $307 | kalshi | /markets/will-miami-heretics-win-map-1-in-the-g2-minnesota-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031630g2mmh-1-mh |
| Over 4.5 maps | 29¢ | −13pp | $175 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-45-maps-be-played-in-the-g2-minnesota-vs-kalshi-kxcodtotalmaps-26may031630g2mmh-5 |
| Over 3.5 maps | 66¢ | −31pp | $159 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-35-maps-be-played-in-the-g2-minnesota-vs-kalshi-kxcodtotalmaps-26may031630g2mmh-4 |
| Inter Miami | 3¢ | −4pp | $142 | kalshi | /markets/where-will-neymar-go-next-inter-miami-kalshi-kxjoinclub-26oct02neymar-mia |
| G2 Minnesota | 33¢ | ±0 | $133 | kalshi | /markets/will-g2-minnesota-win-the-g2-minnesota-vs-miami-he-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031630g2mmh-g2m |
| Miami Heretics | 49¢ | −1pp | $108 | kalshi | /markets/will-miami-heretics-win-map-2-in-the-g2-minnesota-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031630g2mmh-2-mh |
| Inter Miami CF | 19¢ | +3pp | $22 | polymarket | /markets/mls-cup-winner-2026-inter-miami-cf-polymarket-0x484d3e1f00df54f5084984da97d330cfc1a898f952d7fe87278944b459864ba9 |
| Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 12¢ | ±0 | $20 | kalshi | /markets/will-unicorns-of-love-sexy-edition-win-the-unicorn-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may051300usebig-use |
| G2 Minnesota | 42¢ | −1pp | $5 | kalshi | /markets/will-g2-minnesota-win-map-1-in-the-g2-minnesota-vs-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031630g2mmh-1-g2m |
| Meredith Marks | 67¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-meredith-marks-be-on-any-episode-of-the-real-kalshi-kxmediaguestmmarks-27-mer |
| Real Salt Lake | 34¢ | −5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-club-will-cristiano-ronaldo-play-for-next-re-polymarket-0x87cc5b1db831796288d4849566fe67052c69e0c2c34c600489c2a5f9cdde4343 |
| Lionel Messi | 10¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-lionel-messi-leave-inter-miami-before-sep-15-kalshi-kxsoccertransfer-26sum-lmes |
| Inter Miami FC | 5¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/where-will-cristiano-ronaldo-go-next-inter-miami-f-kalshi-kxjoinclub-26oct02cronaldo-mia |
| Over 2.5 maps | 30¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-25-maps-be-played-in-the-unicorns-of-lov-kalshi-kxloltotalmaps-26may051300usebig-3 |
| Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 17¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-unicorns-of-love-sexy-edition-win-map-2-in-th-kalshi-kxlolmap-26may051300usebig-2-use |
| Berlin International Gaming | 71¢ | −41pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-berlin-international-gaming-win-map-1-in-the-kalshi-kxlolmap-26may051300usebig-1-big |
| G2 Minnesota | 42¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-g2-minnesota-win-map-2-in-the-g2-minnesota-vs-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031630g2mmh-2-g2m |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 30 |
| 2026-04-19 | 9 |
| 2026-04-26 | 67 |
| 2026-05-03 | 31 |

_25 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Berlin International Gaming −41pp 44→3¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Over 3.5 maps +33pp 34→67¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Over 3.5 maps +32pp 2→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Over 3.5 maps −31pp 67→36¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Over 4.5 maps +14pp 2→16¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/real-salt-lake-vs-inter-miami-cf
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=real-salt-lake-vs-inter-miami-cf

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.