# Recoleta FC vs. CD Cuenca

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 29% across 20 contracts — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/recoleta-fc-vs-cd-cuenca
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:20:58.693Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 29% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 34¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-ca-san-lore-polymarket-0xe7ea2bf7d0563afd1d04cc6d609566d7b333f2e42aa872fca5d660a66c08ca3c |
| O/U 4.5 | 6¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0xc4dd638c0f758186525a1818baef4867425fbdbb21903fa3909871ea5fac8eeb |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbdae7dda47bdc8a73d6f94678f92dcf81f0105c1e960b850b519bee73c728701 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-both-teams-t-polymarket-0x7c53e9160423d5c01b9ed330530bee3f28bbc550a2c0363064fad9db49f21f69 |
| CD Cuenca (-2.5) | 12¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x0ba8c8a71abb0ec2119bcb26712fd510596ad0b5897db11c0828c96e0f9aaa51 |
| O/U 1.5 | 63¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0xa69c04b9a3b1f405a96f72e12e4f36331b05c9a4a44e59782a8eb6d224561624 |
| O/U 3.5 | 16¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x8d5ad448158e42b7ff046b678b97ea6f512575fcc530502aed0167d1034dbe44 |
| Santos FC (-2.5) | 10¢ | +11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-santos-fc-25-polymarket-0x8b7d1b3045495db64db1602f2a2dc2e9b1a14134ffd5ca46df6da70ef0b6e535 |
| CD Cuenca (-1.5) | 15¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x671eed8d16b2f048e595d650cf32638e6eb43cc94f70afcae3eb73f6e7260707 |
| CD Cuenca | 39¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-cd-cuenca-polymarket-0x8bca2a3c68e17906c630ab7041a6eef9b28b924750bbf138111c2f714fcb40d4 |
| Draw (CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro) | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-draw-cd-cue-polymarket-0x2ed57f4ead7580ff25d7bb989267efe43d23599c4796416c1d977932c57f89b5 |
| Recoleta FC | 18¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-recoleta-fc-polymarket-0xb7af628dcc187e25e4d86cc151df22fca91bb83bb551041d41d2a91a9cc555d6 |
| Santos FC | 57¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-santos-fc-polymarket-0x16aabcce3599427c186ee513559e5fe69c7f01567333eebbd71d848237cf08ee |
| O/U 2.5 | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x2dbc76c5cc0a29bc139406ee9478ca87ebe60fc29ab059b91f6bad88a7dc988c |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5) | 10¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x252a645866d0f42036918666a968a7cd8695128ad1248698019d33e473779369 |
| Santos FC (-1.5) | 31¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-santos-fc-15-polymarket-0x977bf5ecd7328decd940d046ef71f9cad59afae32ac394055cd14a9ca47b7607 |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5) | 11¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x198a70c09b493b8e0bf9d233398d4cd41ba353cd7d60301ca038a8db00dac331 |
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x2e35d2a371eb9f57720f882c8f2ba05eb12bdebe3d1709e3e5e6d4ec33b7f460 |
| O/U 2.5 | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x5f871d298ceb410af90dc99daccb2e3a30265f80cbc766a9eb5dfed54ba9f819 |
| Recoleta FC (-1.5) | 7¢ | +7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-recoleta-fc-polymarket-0x227b414cce0aac66306799ab8092facfc2457b07009b983aaf774d0509b62799 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 35 |
| 2026-05-02 | 27 |
| 2026-05-03 | 30 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Santos FC (-2.5) +11pp 12→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Recoleta FC (-1.5) +7pp 6→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · CD Cuenca (-1.5) +6pp 18→24¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score −4pp 58→54¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/recoleta-fc-vs-cd-cuenca
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=recoleta-fc-vs-cd-cuenca

## License

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