# Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. FC Ryūkyū

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 39% across 20 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/renofa-yamaguchi-fc-vs-fc-ryky
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:51:03.726Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 39% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reilac Shiga (-2.5) | 32¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-r-polymarket-0xdd3092e342d7ec1e30755e4b3aef3551cbc790635a037482ad92955c4e8c9e74 |
| Reilac Shiga (-1.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-r-polymarket-0x0f5665c225149dbe84afa4e40a1bd581aee9d37ee89f4e53a31e4ebf9371f01a |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xae5a2b87d29499e06bc927e017f1f5c9df30ba4b3799e5ceb7b69126c1ff2d40 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-r-polymarket-0xd7af9502399881d796357dd1c2f135082cb1f7e26bdbcfc217a11880009bfee6 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-r-polymarket-0xaaeaf2cfb3eb39e114b42dd4dc45970dcd84501e1848e33fcde5cf933f6f2a40 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x303510bcb696aba478484a929f96eb9bf76361a3140c8c6f2032dfad8c073c8a |
| Reilac Shiga | 50¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-reilac-shiga-polymarket-0x6e16efb90d61db052428897a4bb259a4e7cdeafb3f78c51e9aa942bbac811cf2 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi FC | 36¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-renofa-yamaguc-polymarket-0x7b995500bba09d32d5b82847dbd3ab7597a41ffebfd6a6f1e2a5ee2b5eff5972 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x03536323a1a8f83abdf45667871bd0f123440908e6f273e298292df61148ec63 |
| Draw (Reilac Shiga vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC) | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-draw-reilac-sh-polymarket-0x164ec0b51bc7d1d5f554122da787da06e8ed8f2b787968b7a8b536dd45e64d6f |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x9129c6d9f9cbd07b3b06194bcc629b0b120ddf7c729b3d48340cb9adb17bdb55 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-b-polymarket-0x32de6b71e8be134fa22c6cd98215d5a6aea943283af791854d029622c915ada9 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xf4a4fac8c8d180a8abfa3fac6a9fc1feb8683e02796fcb29a72114d07544188d |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-tegeva-polymarket-0xeba8015dbf05cbf409b2c78e871f712f738975cbbdc238bd4f878afdd4a7f645 |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x4ff230980f419d689a8012e22a7b3178862c5c5a461d646a2cb9dc02e4f60214 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x0bd2ca80c5b4eb69938a57960a50cf81c58ed72f75e16fa5571ca48fcdea5488 |
| FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0xc6d7d588de26b5dbb7a78c7a34e12fc319326a755cea73b832c0511423c43edc |
| FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-more-markets-fc-ryk-polymarket-0x8122eecb61ff7994a30cd8642e7251cb932f7f149181dde3b3fc291ab69788bf |
| Draw (Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū) | 35¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-draw-tegevajaro-miy-polymarket-0x3740060edeffd09a418eb5616067ae79c89d4f023d4530f8bd43557d0c0a53c4 |
| FC Ryūkyū | 36¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tegevajaro-miyazaki-vs-fc-ryky-fc-ryky-polymarket-0xb521a175480555091a9cb13207e09cb5fa510b9c1cbc79593172818a975be4ca |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 38 |
| 2026-05-02 | 39 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5) +5pp 32→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Reilac Shiga (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Ryūkyū (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5) +3pp 33→36¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/renofa-yamaguchi-fc-vs-fc-ryky
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=renofa-yamaguchi-fc-vs-fc-ryky

## License

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