# Republican VP Nominee 2028

> Vivek Ramaswamy leads at 32%, runner-up 24% across 11 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/republican-vp-nominee-2028
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.933Z
Category: politics · Topic: election-2026
Status: active
Closes: 2028-08-14

## Headline

- Leader: Vivek Ramaswamy at 32%
- Runner-up: Marco Rubio at 24%
- Outcomes: 11 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (11 contracts)
- 24h volume: $159

## Bound contracts (11)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 32¢ | ±0 | $18 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-vivek-ramaswamy-polymarket-0xabe8f5407b2539ee9ee57c50d5f074bf8a8e684805403937155355e71907b237 |
| Marco Rubio | 24¢ | −7pp | $18 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-marco-rubio-polymarket-0xce6f518a655f91288dfe040725b45fac668e1722950ea1298474fb3550acbf77 |
| Kristi Noem | 22¢ | — | $18 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-kristi-noem-polymarket-0x3675edd8e44143929276a4aecb37c2aca1b867ac0ea49c1c18bd6c2b6cbba9f9 |
| Mike Pence | 18¢ | ±0 | $8 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-mike-pence-polymarket-0xeec953560f98f8ac18f901b46fd7e00881bb2d0869169b3b1401a2b4d30211b1 |
| Thomas Massie | 11¢ | — | $18 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-thomas-massie-polymarket-0x4babbd5a9d89b973f8090e4a08cf00a114c31135647772d3fd9c3378dbb3499d |
| Ivanka Trump | 11¢ | — | $8 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-ivanka-trump-polymarket-0xe68a7305b5bf7068d6a0035fabaf817bd2edf1ab99f42588131189bb5c450497 |
| J.D. Vance | 10¢ | −1pp | $28 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-jd-vance-polymarket-0xfeccfcff77f44eb3a30bd2965c702d5150aa53a2fb2acb6bdb67d4623301a981 |
| Erika Kirk | 7¢ | −9pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-erika-kirk-polymarket-0x1301455770a44036da27c017152967b3c99926124b6c5c710583274926ea8e09 |
| Brian Kemp | 3¢ | — | $16 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-brian-kemp-polymarket-0x8d0dd3c1c4b46c25e4f0b68d2c2b5c896908f8d6d79d11e7d4e269d92020b758 |
| John Thune | 3¢ | −17pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-john-thune-polymarket-0x43a25dc391a7bf545f9fb296d30857693de20f421546462885d5c171af896418 |
| Eric Trump | 3¢ | — | $8 | polymarket | /markets/republican-vp-nominee-2028-eric-trump-polymarket-0x933dd651d0df5346feb1df4e1973b10920f1cf65b9d03da6a1b94ccaa2e164d0 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Vivek Ramaswamy | Marco Rubio | Mike Pence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 32 | 28 | 20 |
| 2026-05-08 | 32 | 21 | 20 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · John Thune −17pp 20→3¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Erika Kirk −9pp 15→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Marco Rubio −7pp 28→21¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/republican-vp-nominee-2028
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=republican-vp-nominee-2028
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.