# Will Vitality win the Wildcard vs. Vitality Rocket League match

> Closed. Final outcome: Shopify Rebellion. Last odds frozen 1 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/rlgame
Updated: 2026-05-23T13:20:18.502Z
Category: sports
Status: resolved
Closes: 2026-06-03

## Headline

- Probability: 45% (liquidity-weighted across 4 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $726
- Resolved: Shopify Rebellion

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmine Corp | 35¢ | — | $487 | kalshi | /markets/will-karmine-corp-win-the-gentle-mates-alpine-vs-k-kalshi-kxrlgame-26may231145m8kc-kc |
| Shopify Rebellion | 53¢ | — | $110 | kalshi | /markets/will-shopify-rebellion-win-the-shopify-rebellion-v-kalshi-kxrlgame-26may231030srmce-sr |
| Manchester City Esports | 36¢ | — | $96 | kalshi | /markets/will-manchester-city-esports-win-the-shopify-rebel-kalshi-kxrlgame-26may231030srmce-mce |
| Gentle Mates Alpine | 54¢ | — | $34 | kalshi | /markets/will-gentle-mates-alpine-win-the-gentle-mates-alpi-kalshi-kxrlgame-26may231145m8kc-m8 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | 44 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/rlgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=rlgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.