# Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori

> Sagan Tosu leads at 51%, runner-up 36% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 14 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sagan-tosu-vs-gainare-tottori
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:50:50.284Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: Sagan Tosu at 51%
- Runner-up: Gainare Tottori at 36%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagan Tosu | 51¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sagan-tosu-vs-gainare-tottori-sagan-tosu-polymarket-0x54360a68e99704e81cc052d62460ea06e0f7b4f76c4e3b81d32c670013b60fc4 |
| Gainare Tottori | 36¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sagan-tosu-vs-gainare-tottori-gainare-tottori-polymarket-0x2e8cb983805f1ebb56d435554c8a2d299d1afcbcabdfcb96fd445e1de2f9fdb0 |
| Draw (Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori) | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sagan-tosu-vs-gainare-tottori-draw-sagan-tosu-vs-g-polymarket-0x8bfb29652d58dcbbe33735f50ac6022d2825b58b3208952d56868a2a59de1d08 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Sagan Tosu | Gainare Tottori | Draw (Sagan Tosu vs. Gainare Tottori) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 50 | 41 | — |
| 2026-05-02 | — | 40 | 38 |
| 2026-05-03 | 50 | 32 | 38 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Gainare Tottori −8pp 40→32¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects the estimated likelihood that Sagan Tosu will defeat Gainare Tottori in an upcoming Japanese football match. Sagan Tosu is priced as the moderate favorite at 51%, suggesting the market views them as slightly more likely to win, though the outcome remains competitive. Historical performance, current league position, recent form, and head-to-head records typically drive these assessments. The match outcome will be determined when the fixture is played; the specific date and venue would represent the key moment of resolution. Secondary markets on goal totals (Over/Under 2.5 and 3.5) indicate moderate expectations for scoring, suggesting this matchup is not expected to be exceptionally high-scoring. Overall low trading volume across contracts indicates limited market liquidity and relatively light interest in pricing this particular fixture.

### Key factors

- Current league standing and points differential between Sagan Tosu and Gainare Tottori entering the fixture
- Recent form metrics: wins, draws, and losses in each team's last 5–10 matches
- Head-to-head historical record and goal differential in previous matchups between the two clubs
- Home/away advantage status: which team plays at their home ground, or if neutral venue
- Expected lineup availability and key player injury status, if applicable

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sagan-tosu-vs-gainare-tottori
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=sagan-tosu-vs-gainare-tottori

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.