# Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 72%, runner-up 56% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-k-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:50:53.347Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 72%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 56%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xced5703e0a85d8a914960fee6f941ca5f6ad458021b46f79003d9132621e3f21 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-bot-polymarket-0x46afc095649ba6fa057372d661624c801f0bce711d6c745012488addeec17592 |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x840caa5bd31d364838b0acbdbfded39a1aa1e0860ceb849b3b03cfcc4c856f30 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5) | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-san-polymarket-0x5cd99b90108f0ff51cfc1b28106407e34736bce3166d090d5905499a2196877d |
| O/U 3.5 | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xa5be96c0387119ddfc9de4d4b7a72ec69206d5fa61b3ce809e7cee8ae97f39c2 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xdfd081d9c02c28ff4161a98dc03be658f2c0bf40e507f8417a405fcd4a90ff31 |
| Vissel Kōbe (-1.5) | 11¢ | +14pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-vis-polymarket-0xc674e6a36965fa0e611b5bc6212d2a7beaadfbc9fcd81a46a8bf0be9712bb72c |
| Vissel Kōbe (-2.5) | 11¢ | +15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-vis-polymarket-0x0dd98db188e5654f0d81714fb96f292841ddf74c965b60074c689f3ffaceb64e |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5) | 8¢ | +9pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-san-polymarket-0x838893bd820ebabcc88ae0a15a2a0d3016c9fde3a49a4c2f41b6c6d2637af108 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | — | 55 | — |
| 2026-05-03 | 72 | 55 | 22 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Vissel Kōbe (-2.5) +15pp 11→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Vissel Kōbe (-1.5) +14pp 12→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5) +9pp 9→18¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe outcome market currently prices Hiroshima's chances at 55%, based on five contracts aggregated from Polymarket. This represents a slight lean toward Hiroshima, rather than a toss-up. The market reflects recent form, head-to-head records, home-field advantage, and squad depth—factors that typically influence J-League matchups. The primary drivers of probability shifts would be injury updates to key players, recent goal-scoring trends, and defensive records between the two sides. The match itself will fully resolve the contract when the final whistle sounds, making the game date the critical upcoming event. Until kickoff, the probability may shift based on team news, betting flows, or betting-syndicate positioning on Polymarket.

### Key factors

- Current odds imply Hiroshima holds a 55% win probability versus Kōbe's implied odds at lower levels; the 23% runner-up suggests a third outcome (draw or Kōbe win) is also materially priced
- J-League match outcomes are influenced by home-field advantage, recent season point totals, and head-to-head records—none of which are reflected in the sparse contract metadata provided
- Polymarket's total 24-hour volume across the top five related contracts is under $800, indicating relatively low liquidity and potential for sharp moves on limited order flow
- No scheduled injury reports, roster changes, or weather alerts are visible in the available data; these factors typically move J-League match probabilities materially
- The contract will fully resolve upon final match result; no partial or interim settlements apply to a winner-take-all structure

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-k-more-markets

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