# Santos FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 71%, runner-up 50% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.104Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 71%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 50%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $16

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 71¢ | — | $14 | polymarket | /markets/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets-ou-1-polymarket-0x80364f35092cf8ac2d42cac7f41e1781dd57cb009b660446552c14911529352e |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets-both-polymarket-0xce63876eb788ff44e63f40ff55c70836e45a5e08be5ff8d5110cd20d3206a36b |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets-ou-2-polymarket-0xba23287629a633bd5bb627c2fa77ebce0b553d3656caa327267ba3b5747da312 |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets-ou-3-polymarket-0x680b966b332cf873dc08583dbc42ba64032d3a8563c6227ad1dcdf25bb2a1771 |
| Santos FC (-1.5) | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets-sant-polymarket-0xdb27376e396ecc73fb723f4977f4b05bb9700a988106b021e5a28cb9b8bafc76 |
| Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5) | 10¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets-red-polymarket-0x2015a2f7a805141bac7bc0b467e74151facf9cdf5ef417e08728aa6701a5a552 |
| O/U 4.5 | 10¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets-ou-4-polymarket-0x08f9c5b6d431aeaf1b9a813bd189f96360cf81d7165fd2acfdf84b3ca97a5645 |
| Santos FC (-2.5) | 8¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets-sant-polymarket-0x4d046784dbc14bb0cb0654cd8f3b779e6cc452c55359867728f093f2e29fbb59 |
| Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5) | 6¢ | −2pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets-red-polymarket-0xc443ef8596b15d051b19e1e2b20c59ecd803d75a2c469c88344c6ccb688b63f4 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 | O/U 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 51 | 45 | 24 |
| 2026-05-08 | 52 | 44 | — |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This market is pricing the likelihood that both Santos FC and Red Bull Bragantino will each score at least one goal in their matchup at 51%. The high concentration of trading volume in this contract ($7 in 24 hours) relative to spread bets suggests traders view a multi-goal outcome as more probable than a shutout scenario. Factors supporting this probability include typical Serie A scoring patterns and the attacking profiles of both clubs. The market would shift upward if recent team form shows increased goal-scoring or injury reports remove defensive key players; it would decline if either team enters the match depleted in attack or if weather conditions favor defensive play. The primary resolution point is the final match result on the scheduled game date, where actual goals scored will determine the contract outcome.

### Key factors

- 24-hour volume of $7 concentrated on the Both Teams to Score contract versus near-zero volume on spread bets indicates market consensus toward multi-goal outcomes
- Current lineup availability, recent injury reports, and recent goal-scoring performance for both Santos and Bragantino would directly affect the probability of each team finding the net
- Historical head-to-head scoring patterns between these clubs and Serie A's typical goals-per-match rate provide statistical baseline for the 51% pricing
- Spread contracts pricing (Santos -1.5, -2.5 and Bragantino -1.5, -2.5 all under 20¢) show low conviction in lopsided scorelines, supporting higher both-teams-to-score odds
- Weather conditions and surface quality on match day could materially influence defensive solidity and scoring opportunities for both teams

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=santos-fc-vs-red-bull-bragantino-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.