# Al-Najma vs Al-Taawoun Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 15 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/saudiplgame
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:41.338Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 15 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (15 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (15)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ittihad | 66¢ | +1pp | $925 | kalshi | /markets/al-ittihad-vs-damac-winner-al-ittihad-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may10itjdam-itj |
| Al Qadsiah | 66¢ | +3pp | $268 | kalshi | /markets/al-fayha-vs-al-qadsiah-winner-al-qadsiah-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may09fayqad-qad |
| Al-Fayha | 13¢ | ±0 | $212 | kalshi | /markets/al-fayha-vs-al-qadsiah-winner-al-fayha-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may09fayqad-fay |
| Tie | 18¢ | +1pp | $151 | kalshi | /markets/al-fayha-vs-al-qadsiah-winner-tie-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may09fayqad-tie |
| Al Ahli Saudi | 54¢ | — | $36 | kalshi | /markets/al-taawoun-vs-al-ahli-saudi-winner-al-ahli-saudi-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may11altaas-aas |
| AL Suqoor | 41¢ | +10pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/al-suqoor-vs-al-shabab-winner-al-suqoor-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may11neosha-neo |
| Al-Taawoun | 17¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-taawoun-vs-al-ahli-saudi-winner-al-taawoun-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may11altaas-alt |
| Tie | 24¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-suqoor-vs-al-shabab-winner-tie-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may11neosha-tie |
| Al-Riyadh | 44¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-riyadh-vs-al-fateh-winner-al-riyadh-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may10riyfat-riy |
| Tie | 20¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-taawoun-vs-al-ahli-saudi-winner-tie-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may11altaas-tie |
| Al-Shabab | 29¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-suqoor-vs-al-shabab-winner-al-shabab-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may11neosha-sha |
| Damac | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-ittihad-vs-damac-winner-damac-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may10itjdam-dam |
| Tie | 14¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-ittihad-vs-damac-winner-tie-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may10itjdam-tie |
| Al-Fateh | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-riyadh-vs-al-fateh-winner-al-fateh-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may10riyfat-fat |
| Tie | 24¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-riyadh-vs-al-fateh-winner-tie-kalshi-kxsaudiplgame-26may10riyfat-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 30 |
| 2026-05-07 | 31 |
| 2026-05-08 | 30 |
| 2026-05-09 | 23 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-09 · AL Suqoor +10pp 31→41¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Al-Riyadh +5pp 39→44¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Al Qadsiah +3pp 62→65¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-09 · Al-Taawoun −3pp 20→17¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Tie +3pp 22→25¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/saudiplgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=saudiplgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.