# Al-Hazm wins by over 2.5 goals

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 15% across 13 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/saudiplspread
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:41.013Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 15% (liquidity-weighted across 13 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (13 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2

## Bound contracts (13)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Qadsiah wins by over 1.5 goals | 40¢ | — | $2 | kalshi | /markets/al-qadsiah-wins-by-over-15-goals-al-qadsiah-wins-b-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may09fayqad-qad1 |
| Al-Taawoun wins by over 1.5 goals | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-taawoun-wins-by-over-15-goals-al-taawoun-wins-b-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may11altaas-alt1 |
| Al Ahli Saudi wins by over 1.5 goals | 26¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-ahli-saudi-wins-by-over-15-goals-al-ahli-saudi-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may11altaas-aas1 |
| Al Ahli Saudi wins by over 2.5 goals | 8¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-ahli-saudi-wins-by-over-25-goals-al-ahli-saudi-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may11altaas-aas2 |
| AL Suqoor wins by over 1.5 goals | 12¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-suqoor-wins-by-over-15-goals-al-suqoor-wins-by-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may11neosha-neo1 |
| Al-Shabab wins by over 1.5 goals | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-shabab-wins-by-over-15-goals-al-shabab-wins-by-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may11neosha-sha1 |
| Al-Ittihad wins by over 2.5 goals | 14¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-ittihad-wins-by-over-25-goals-al-ittihad-wins-b-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may10itjdam-itj2 |
| Al-Ittihad wins by over 1.5 goals | 35¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-ittihad-wins-by-over-15-goals-al-ittihad-wins-b-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may10itjdam-itj1 |
| Al-Riyadh wins by over 2.5 goals | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-riyadh-wins-by-over-25-goals-al-riyadh-wins-by-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may10riyfat-riy2 |
| Al-Riyadh wins by over 1.5 goals | 17¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-riyadh-wins-by-over-15-goals-al-riyadh-wins-by-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may10riyfat-riy1 |
| Al-Fateh wins by over 1.5 goals | 7¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-fateh-wins-by-over-15-goals-al-fateh-wins-by-ov-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may10riyfat-fat1 |
| Al-Fayha wins by over 1.5 goals | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-fayha-wins-by-over-15-goals-al-fayha-wins-by-ov-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may09fayqad-fay1 |
| Al Qadsiah wins by over 2.5 goals | 20¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/al-qadsiah-wins-by-over-25-goals-al-qadsiah-wins-b-kalshi-kxsaudiplspread-26may09fayqad-qad2 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 10 |
| 2026-05-08 | 8 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/saudiplspread
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=saudiplspread

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.