# SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 33% across 19 contracts — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sc-corinthians-paulista-vs-cr-vasco-da-gama-more-markets-sc
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:20:49.352Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 38% / Polymarket 33% — 5pp spread
- 24h volume: $7K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 61¢ | ±0 | $6K | kalshi | /markets/flamengo-vs-vasco-da-gama-winner-flamengo-kalshi-kxbrasileirogame-26may03flavdg-fla |
| Vasco da Gama | 15¢ | +3pp | $398 | kalshi | /markets/flamengo-vs-vasco-da-gama-winner-vasco-da-gama-kalshi-kxbrasileirogame-26may03flavdg-vdg |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 53¢ | ±0 | $204 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| Audax CS Italiano | 30¢ | — | $10 | polymarket | /markets/audax-cs-italiano-vs-cr-vasco-da-gama-audax-cs-ita-polymarket-0x77b494da396965818bb6e74912d576046b901b120bc3907630b546967780b472 |
| Independiente Santa Fe (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x40633c2276af9f1982d3f919553af750dfe4d763a443056d9c52de4c6191f8d8 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x5735da3e7d2a090ad05c030f77efb55ebc2288982ec45be75358f0e57d648821 |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x65835d9cb539cf33b6489619365554af29a588a1cee0ddd74e727d6981c3d417 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd92e3c6facd7cfe3772dc6c05c64835117ff536547aa381a46e39188f1b328a1 |
| Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5) | 9¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x559461c25f175b01a1cbf6e4b72940b22f539eaf75dd59ecaca75722a2fd3557 |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd128a438d67165805df816880348c9da14f4a48c449293d0a25e97f0e23233d7 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x71f745c092060c8f80e06e6bed5141039827ad2a3fb79dfbb6322455bd9b44e7 |
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x96cfcd71ed45e08b312ba37155767a1409aa65d9265dd47e691650b966761513 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x13712fed686d2b8c9fb4a3cfb1024a67967a412094efa5871638bff56c6025b6 |
| CR Vasco da Gama | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/audax-cs-italiano-vs-cr-vasco-da-gama-cr-vasco-da-polymarket-0x6110dd02d5b7dcce9e6a47ba8719d2aaeca6bdd3446ef851f31db58c37836355 |
| Draw (Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista) | 30¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x13d4e172345029d05355aac3de341064570a9c04b4554b89d11086a5432206b7 |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 35¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xcf1ee37c45e00bddb2f367a12b4577900490644a0edd63e8b41b10f361611f60 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista | 38¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xb8cbcacec9cc7c9317ec00f09148ab9c3d7a75182d1bddaf7c11a901f90b69e4 |
| Draw (Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama) | 30¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/audax-cs-italiano-vs-cr-vasco-da-gama-draw-audax-c-polymarket-0x287c5771bcd442ad7d97ed64c360d1ddbd3a157749d57ec2d3b2318dbfa0ba78 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | 23 |
| 2026-05-03 | 32 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-27 · Flamengo +23pp 40→63¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Vasco da Gama +4pp 6→10¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Flamengo −3pp 65→62¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Vasco da Gama +3pp 12→15¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 +3pp 63→66¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sc-corinthians-paulista-vs-cr-vasco-da-gama-more-markets-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=sc-corinthians-paulista-vs-cr-vasco-da-gama-more-markets-sc

## License

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