# SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 19 contracts — refreshed 11 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sc-internacional-vs-fluminense-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:05:48.938Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 34% / Polymarket 29% — 5pp spread
- 24h volume: $921

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 26¢ | +1pp | $628 | kalshi | /markets/internacional-vs-fluminense-winner-fluminense-kalshi-kxbrasileirogame-26may03intflu-flu |
| Internacional | 43¢ | +1pp | $156 | kalshi | /markets/internacional-vs-fluminense-winner-internacional-kalshi-kxbrasileirogame-26may03intflu-int |
| Tie | 28¢ | +1pp | $93 | kalshi | /markets/internacional-vs-fluminense-winner-tie-kalshi-kxbrasileirogame-26may03intflu-tie |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 22¢ | +2pp | $31 | kalshi | /markets/fluminense-at-internacional-totals-over-35-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03intflu-3 |
| Fluminense FC | 36¢ | — | $10 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-flumin-polymarket-0xdf1c5669cd4279748bdc30257101e9e3ece4843fa303d0bc177f6b82e91fde24 |
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 43¢ | +2pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/fluminense-at-internacional-totals-over-25-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03intflu-2 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 9¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/fluminense-at-internacional-totals-over-45-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03intflu-4 |
| Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored | 70¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/fluminense-at-internacional-totals-over-15-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03intflu-1 |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5) | 17¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x43d406716ebb5b3949e627516fd9fd8163a81dc7b6dcf2d7c86d8f037121e39b |
| O/U 1.5 | 68¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xd8a7d5d547100b2270933248df7428d9017f6b931f9308bed03ab382d22b4976 |
| O/U 3.5 | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x8b09a61747807aac72d01b9c57762c496de365271792470e7f0828c65206fc9e |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xb4cd80e3412a2737eb14d990736e8d6adfad75e6aac6bd32eeecb8864b8104dc |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia | 35¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-cs-ind-polymarket-0xa11f14243031feb0114e6edfc3461757ed2499870b3469a707374b04e30334a6 |
| Draw (CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC) | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-draw-c-polymarket-0x3a3edfc0875f4fd51d51c2afaf7f6499178b9d175cddc7f007edb8d8657a49b6 |
| Fluminense FC (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xff496f3de17ada028aa13a378c1749532a6b538409094f56ea1734e14ce81114 |
| Fluminense FC (-1.5) | 16¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x5fff26d17fdf67b340805d5b33198f2874e8301b3e6629c8e8109612edb03c5a |
| O/U 2.5 | 43¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x7353429eea6a19c8f51656bb2b78b9febb4e23463eb4f3115e62e575cf46ad9d |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x9ff78c27fda30e5b9dbe59ba5899c2dd5001db91eb9f6991bba3e152776590df |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x4fe6145be9c1a8444114672c2bbfc3eea1f40e63269229c5a134c0a62b097662 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | 21 |
| 2026-05-03 | 31 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-27 · Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored +17pp 21→38¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored +14pp 50→64¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-29 · Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored +12pp 7→19¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Internacional +11pp 27→38¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Fluminense +6pp 19→25¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sc-internacional-vs-fluminense-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=sc-internacional-vs-fluminense-fc

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