# SC Sagamihara vs. Tochigi City FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 41% across 20 contracts — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sc-sagamihara-vs-tochigi-city-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:50:32.728Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 41% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 48% / Polymarket 39% — 9pp spread
- 24h volume: $596

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zero Tenacity | 16¢ | +3pp | $420 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-the-zero-tenacity-vs-nigma-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may031100z10ngx-z10 |
| Nigma Galaxy | 82¢ | ±0 | $158 | kalshi | /markets/will-nigma-galaxy-win-the-zero-tenacity-vs-nigma-g-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may031100z10ngx-ngx |
| Yokohama FC | 39¢ | +1pp | $16 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-yokohama-fc-polymarket-0x55b12d18b6d23acca350d701d3ef79f9dada8ea8b661dd33fc95301b333a3f34 |
| Zero Tenacity | 23¢ | +2pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-map-2-in-the-zero-tenacity-kalshi-kxdota2map-26may031100z10ngx-2-z10 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x1addf084258d8d2d82ad864949be42d2dbce523d92a71c9fa42acfe27c07ac8d |
| Yokohama FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-yokoha-polymarket-0x2c1d8193e28b595f3903da1a31b9be397c53ac444485be771094d265d036eecf |
| Yokohama FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-yokoha-polymarket-0x63f37e77be6ee67b7a2136a946b8e213b3e172b4af30e83a2706e476c714c527 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x5e3b757091dcad072621466203350361d21e0114936e597bba69eb781cc9609a |
| Tochigi City FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-tochig-polymarket-0x00d353e73d92c211a37d3b0eb03737f155a2b0413c3532525a81dc65562d5196 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0xd6838381c0c35db5a2b4887d2f6dd520ea2cd8829c4e505a637419cb3f4e5708 |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x22beacd714da8e36133ae7b4ce9a922882b6587e6747fb1648422ade6fe12bae |
| Tochigi City FC (-2.5) | 32¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-tochig-polymarket-0xd08f51a60bef0a7c506ef2c93e03fde75b5311864a8c2b5b9f66777f3cb11e15 |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd165f0be07f5e0f8d9c9531860a4288aa0971cf6dcfa9f6f3666f8f7277681c8 |
| Draw (Tochigi City FC vs. Yokohama FC) | 34¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-draw-tochigi-city-f-polymarket-0x9bdcef6177d296ce1897be117ec4e35ffaf308bedd44c03b24235d1598e8cc6a |
| Tochigi City FC | 45¢ | −16pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-tochigi-city-fc-polymarket-0x2031740085ebc05d9a09dcbbd2271fa79045d7d10bc8224b9820b31d8f4acc92 |
| Nigma Galaxy | 70¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-nigma-galaxy-win-map-1-in-the-zero-tenacity-v-kalshi-kxdota2map-26may031100z10ngx-1-ngx |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xd90426e0b0905c5f3d9b9cdcaa5a010847074f3e9d2913a54dbbb6f29bb28b0d |
| Tochigi SC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-tochigi-polymarket-0x97bc0649619d77c5ea2b101aea9e958937c2188fc3465b6035f159133111aeed |
| CD Palestino | 25¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-cd-palestin-polymarket-0x3299d6bee2481093d7ef9a78adeadd03771f46740c1e9780b2881d52ab08ce11 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vegalta-sendai-vs-tochigi-sc-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x75a53024a4ac793c3b5dded816c587ba66276054e412875e7030468324f69f1f |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 33 |
| 2026-05-01 | 47 |
| 2026-05-02 | 43 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Nigma Galaxy +34pp 37→71¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Tochigi City FC −16pp 50→34¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Zero Tenacity +10pp 12→22¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Nigma Galaxy +9pp 70→79¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score −8pp 59→51¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/sc-sagamihara-vs-tochigi-city-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=sc-sagamihara-vs-tochigi-city-fc

## License

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