# St. Mirren vs Livingston Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 32% across 6 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/scottishpremgame
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.371Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 6 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $326
- Resolved: Heart of Midlothian

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | 25¢ | +1pp | $174 | kalshi | /markets/celtic-vs-rangers-winner-rangers-kalshi-kxscottishpremgame-26may10celrfc-rfc |
| Heart of Midlothian | 38¢ | +2pp | $107 | kalshi | /markets/motherwell-vs-heart-of-midlothian-winner-heart-of-kalshi-kxscottishpremgame-26may09mothom-hom |
| Celtic | 46¢ | — | $35 | kalshi | /markets/celtic-vs-rangers-winner-celtic-kalshi-kxscottishpremgame-26may10celrfc-cel |
| Motherwell | 32¢ | −1pp | $11 | kalshi | /markets/motherwell-vs-heart-of-midlothian-winner-motherwel-kalshi-kxscottishpremgame-26may09mothom-mot |
| Tie | 25¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/celtic-vs-rangers-winner-tie-kalshi-kxscottishpremgame-26may10celrfc-tie |
| Tie | 26¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/motherwell-vs-heart-of-midlothian-winner-tie-kalshi-kxscottishpremgame-26may09mothom-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 31 |
| 2026-05-07 | 30 |
| 2026-05-08 | 26 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/scottishpremgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=scottishpremgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.