# SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 32% across 17 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/se-palmeiras-vs-santos-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:05:53.288Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 17 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (17 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (17)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE Palmeiras (-2.5) | 15¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-cristal-vs-se-palmeiras-more-markets-se-palmeir-polymarket-0x56031e4fd8f85ab1ef6acfe6bf455fa80486505d672c7fa32ade47ef005c4746 |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-cristal-vs-se-palmeiras-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x53c14f110455aa30b1baf8ecadf89cb258aa7ea917f853b89774c464acbe56ac |
| Recoleta FC (-2.5) | 10¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-recoleta-fc-polymarket-0x59c79791557e4efa66098d63bddd4a633dfe0673d3ba2cf096c50f2470806901 |
| Santos FC (-1.5) | 31¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-santos-fc-15-polymarket-0x977bf5ecd7328decd940d046ef71f9cad59afae32ac394055cd14a9ca47b7607 |
| O/U 3.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x649f758c6dde622a7bf75befacc1a7c2f70d0afef0894db50623c07f953fc7d8 |
| SE Palmeiras (-1.5) | 30¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-cristal-vs-se-palmeiras-more-markets-se-palmeir-polymarket-0x32804cd439c1bfca4c202fce84583e79a3c404f6c6991c23b68fdb2698372971 |
| O/U 2.5 | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x5f871d298ceb410af90dc99daccb2e3a30265f80cbc766a9eb5dfed54ba9f819 |
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x2e35d2a371eb9f57720f882c8f2ba05eb12bdebe3d1709e3e5e6d4ec33b7f460 |
| Santos FC (-2.5) | 10¢ | +11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-santos-fc-25-polymarket-0x8b7d1b3045495db64db1602f2a2dc2e9b1a14134ffd5ca46df6da70ef0b6e535 |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-cristal-vs-se-palmeiras-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x6c1549b4f18c127ba75daebe83e34495d6143b3c1255994e597bb51932b9222e |
| CS Cristal (-1.5) | 8¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-cristal-vs-se-palmeiras-more-markets-cs-cristal-polymarket-0xfaa9e3aad297692328fb6209ca47781ac3957e835eda579a113bd8745f22cc5a |
| Recoleta FC (-1.5) | 7¢ | +7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-recoleta-fc-polymarket-0x227b414cce0aac66306799ab8092facfc2457b07009b983aaf774d0509b62799 |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-cristal-vs-se-palmeiras-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x7b3618cc383dee32b5928783e21910b64d9ee9e8871dccdbe77b4683d145b693 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbdae7dda47bdc8a73d6f94678f92dcf81f0105c1e960b850b519bee73c728701 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/recoleta-fc-vs-santos-fc-more-markets-both-teams-t-polymarket-0x7c53e9160423d5c01b9ed330530bee3f28bbc550a2c0363064fad9db49f21f69 |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-cristal-vs-se-palmeiras-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xddd281fea164268b7a430b9b264ba88f9c5927b2e82311c6c8d976912a063d6c |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-cristal-vs-se-palmeiras-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0x8b5451274c64477bcff83d70ee4344ff92dc476aa0d1b1ee30f39bdade2aa1df |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 30 |
| 2026-05-03 | 29 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Santos FC (-2.5) +11pp 12→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · CS Cristal (-1.5) +8pp 11→19¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Recoleta FC (-1.5) +7pp 6→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Recoleta FC (-2.5) +4pp 9→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score −4pp 58→54¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/se-palmeiras-vs-santos-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=se-palmeiras-vs-santos-fc-more-markets

## License

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