# Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 73%, runner-up 51% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.575Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 73%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 51%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets-polymarket-0x8e7f469c820a200e4e7ac4a3afe2f1a90f4df74dd2ad8aa4dcf406dbf2759cce |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets-polymarket-0xbff24c3caad38290e7df5165153855fe4b25ac8d8a00452a8a82489bd3009e76 |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets-polymarket-0x51c54fbb43e875b906874a448f6dc382a5697405dfc012844cd67b39d16ea506 |
| Washington Spirit (-1.5) | 21¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets-polymarket-0x7ceab5f221bdbee2fca29a78f91148f3aed7f06e5c936904c5f2d50be0d0852a |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets-polymarket-0x76fd320cadb356ed6017ab76afd534e610dbeedb8536671027a4ac368dd49713 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets-polymarket-0xe3c1469fefeb1e4825d6b3a64087d6104a45e4b1fc02f1582c9bbbf3dbd1526d |
| Washington Spirit (-2.5) | 12¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets-polymarket-0x2222eff2f6caaf9f0e266f725657e237b7589f70732ebcea2e84abe78b682650 |
| Seattle Reign FC (-2.5) | 11¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets-polymarket-0x253dbbd1d62275b90207094c98afcd1724b6a0af4a6502433ee245b5b645f7e8 |
| Seattle Reign FC (-1.5) | 10¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets-polymarket-0xc6fe15c20a119e0e48490a68a08a3735bf2cfee93f4d95e370951642073ec837 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 65 | 51 | 53 |
| 2026-05-07 | 66 | — | 50 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Washington Spirit (-2.5) +10pp 25→35¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Seattle Reign FC (-1.5) −8pp 31→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Seattle Reign FC (-2.5) −6pp 24→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Seattle Reign FC (-1.5) −3pp 34→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Washington Spirit (-1.5) +3pp 33→36¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 51% probability reflects market expectations that both teams will score in an upcoming Seattle Reign FC versus Washington Spirit match. This outcome sits at the top of five competing market contracts tracking different match results and goal distributions. The probability is driven by both teams' recent offensive and defensive performance metrics, as well as historical scoring patterns in matchups between these two NWSL sides. The primary catalyst for resolution will be the match result itself—specifically whether each team finds the net during the 90 minutes of play. Current market activity is minimal across these contracts, suggesting limited recent trading volume and potentially wider bid-ask spreads. The spread of probabilities across spread-based contracts (ranging from 31¢ to 32¢ for various goal-margin outcomes) indicates uncertainty about both the final result and margin of victory.

### Key factors

- Both Teams to Score is priced at 51%, notably higher than any individual team victory or spread outcome, suggesting traders weight balanced offensive capability over either team winning decisively
- Washington Spirit and Seattle Reign FC spread contracts are evenly split near 32¢ each across multiple goal margins, indicating approximate parity in market expectations for either outcome
- Zero 24-hour trading volume across all five contracts suggests these markets have not yet attracted significant liquidity ahead of the scheduled match
- The gap between BTTS (51¢) and next-highest contract (32¢ for various spreads) represents the largest single probability differentiator in this market cluster
- Historical NWSL scoring rates and recent team form would determine whether the actual 51% probability properly reflects goal-scoring likelihood

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets

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