# Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit

> Washington Spirit leads at 55%, runner-up 25% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:42.004Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: Washington Spirit at 55%
- Runner-up: Draw (Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit) at 25%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Spirit | 55¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-washington-s-polymarket-0x78bfece747c52224b887a527a62e8e0b2735a4555e101d19277bfd611810b079 |
| Draw (Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit) | 25¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-draw-seattle-polymarket-0x6446da9cba48b2abb86fd170dd42e3102da314d79bf460708a888ae91407f766 |
| Seattle Reign FC | 20¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit-seattle-reig-polymarket-0x106d641f9477493b74a352ad9533c0c59d073af81c6757e7c9838342361a3fc5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Washington Spirit | Draw (Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit) | Seattle Reign FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 33 | 32 | 43 |
| 2026-05-07 | 35 | 32 | 41 |
| 2026-05-08 | 55 | 26 | 21 |
| 2026-05-09 | 55 | 26 | 21 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Seattle Reign FC −20pp 41→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Washington Spirit +20pp 35→55¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Draw (Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit) −6pp 32→26¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectation that Seattle Reign FC will win an upcoming match against Washington Spirit, with a 40% chance assigned to Seattle victory compared to 32% for Washington and 30% for a draw. The current pricing suggests relatively even odds between the two outcomes, with Seattle holding a slight edge. The matchup outcome depends on team form, injury status, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage at the time of play. The primary catalyst will be kickoff on the scheduled match date, which will provide definitive resolution. Movement in these probabilities before the match would likely reflect recent team performance, lineup changes, or updated injury reports that shift expectations about either team's ability to control play and create scoring opportunities.

### Key factors

- Seattle's current win-loss-draw record and goal differential in the 2026 NWSL season relative to Washington Spirit's record
- Injury or roster availability status for key offensive or defensive players on either team as of the match date
- Home vs. away designation and historical performance in that venue for both teams in 2026
- Head-to-head results between these teams in prior seasons and any recent competitive patterns
- Weather conditions and field surface conditions at kickoff that could affect team strategy and play style

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=seattle-reign-fc-vs-washington-spirit

## License

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