# Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 4% across 2 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seattle-sounders-fc-vs-fc-dallas
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:35:02.903Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 4% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders FC | 4¢ | +15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mls-cup-winner-2026-seattle-sounders-fc-polymarket-0xdf916c5f55ba2f73ca8a92460ec26696cdaf55ff8dd103c8437bdbb4e5ac6890 |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 3¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-club-will-cristiano-ronaldo-play-for-next-se-polymarket-0x49781db6c46b7714bab0d095a0212c0f99aea631f20e18b709fadbbfb468294d |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 4 |
| 2026-04-18 | 4 |
| 2026-04-26 | 3 |
| 2026-05-03 | 3 |

_19 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-28 · Seattle Sounders FC +36pp 5→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-29 · Seattle Sounders FC −35pp 41→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-28 · Seattle Sounders FC +15pp 4→19¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seattle-sounders-fc-vs-fc-dallas
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=seattle-sounders-fc-vs-fc-dallas

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.