# Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC

> Seattle Sounders FC leads at 57%, runner-up 23% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seattle-sounders-fc-vs-san-diego-fc
Updated: 2026-05-09T07:35:29.508Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: Seattle Sounders FC at 57%
- Runner-up: Draw (Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC) at 23%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders FC | 57¢ | +1pp | $393 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-sounders-fc-vs-san-diego-fc-seattle-sounde-polymarket-0x429944344f98a01e43fbb4e8de8dfde3b1c193f71b18e579e482b4574d07aca9 |
| Draw (Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC) | 23¢ | — | $364 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-sounders-fc-vs-san-diego-fc-draw-seattle-s-polymarket-0xb43a5d302b29e08f3395f8294c162b365b12fd606fd3e3f490b9b58ceb4f213c |
| San Diego FC | 21¢ | −1pp | $291 | polymarket | /markets/seattle-sounders-fc-vs-san-diego-fc-san-diego-fc-polymarket-0x338f052e45a3b0ff8d97658377266eb6e4830bd9cb7183b83b1f22332aa96c61 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Seattle Sounders FC | Draw (Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC) | San Diego FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 56 | — | 22 |
| 2026-05-08 | 56 | 24 | 21 |
| 2026-05-09 | 57 | — | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

Markets are pricing Seattle Sounders FC as favored to win this match at 55%, with a draw at 25% and San Diego FC at 21%. This suggests traders view Seattle as more likely to secure three points, though the distribution indicates meaningful uncertainty. The outcome will depend on recent team form, head-to-head records, and key player availability. Injuries, tactical matchups, and home-field advantage typically drive MLS match probabilities. The resolution date—when the match concludes—will determine which outcome occurs, making current positioning reflect pre-match conditions rather than any interim data. Trading volume is currently inactive across all three contracts.

### Key factors

- Seattle's current position in the MLS standings and recent win-loss record versus San Diego's recent form
- Availability of key players for both teams and any confirmed injuries or suspensions entering the match
- Historical head-to-head results between the two clubs in recent seasons
- Home or away designation and venue conditions that typically favor one team
- Current goal differential and defensive/offensive ranking metrics for both squads in the 2026 season

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seattle-sounders-fc-vs-san-diego-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=seattle-sounders-fc-vs-san-diego-fc

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