# Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before May 20, 2026

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/senaterec
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:35:30.952Z
Category: legislation · Topic: election-2026
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-06-14

## Headline

- Leader: Before Jun 14, 2026 at 94%
- Runner-up: Before Jun 6, 2026 at 93%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $18K

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jun 14, 2026 | 94¢ | — | $62 | kalshi | /markets/will-a-reconciliation-bill-passed-the-senate-befor-kalshi-kxsenaterec-26may-jun14 |
| Before Jun 6, 2026 | 93¢ | — | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-reconciliation-bill-passed-the-senate-befor-kalshi-kxsenaterec-26may-jun06 |
| Before May 23, 2026 | 72¢ | — | $10K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-reconciliation-bill-passed-the-senate-befor-kalshi-kxsenaterec-26may-may23 |
| Before May 20, 2026 | 31¢ | — | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-reconciliation-bill-passed-the-senate-befor-kalshi-kxsenaterec-26may-may20 |
| Before May 16, 2026 | 5¢ | — | $675 | kalshi | /markets/will-a-reconciliation-bill-passed-the-senate-befor-kalshi-kxsenaterec-26may-may16 |

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/senaterec
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=senaterec
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.