# Hellas Verona vs Lecce Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 35% across 17 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/serieagame
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:40.095Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-25

## Headline

- Probability: 35% (liquidity-weighted across 17 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (17 contracts)
- 24h volume: $7K

## Bound contracts (17)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 67¢ | ±0 | $5K | kalshi | /markets/lecce-vs-juventus-winner-juventus-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may09lecjuv-juv |
| Roma | 64¢ | +15pp | $406 | kalshi | /markets/parma-calcio-vs-roma-winner-roma-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10parrom-rom |
| Tie | 23¢ | ±0 | $237 | kalshi | /markets/cremonese-vs-pisa-winner-tie-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10crepis-tie |
| Fiorentina | 45¢ | +1pp | $211 | kalshi | /markets/fiorentina-vs-genoa-winner-fiorentina-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10fiogen-fio |
| Atalanta | 25¢ | +1pp | $191 | kalshi | /markets/milan-vs-atalanta-winner-atalanta-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10acmata-ata |
| Tie | 20¢ | ±0 | $188 | kalshi | /markets/lecce-vs-juventus-winner-tie-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may09lecjuv-tie |
| Milan | 46¢ | +2pp | $179 | kalshi | /markets/milan-vs-atalanta-winner-milan-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10acmata-acm |
| Cremonese | 57¢ | ±0 | $141 | kalshi | /markets/cremonese-vs-pisa-winner-cremonese-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10crepis-cre |
| Parma Calcio | 13¢ | −5pp | $130 | kalshi | /markets/parma-calcio-vs-roma-winner-parma-calcio-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10parrom-par |
| Como | 70¢ | ±0 | $80 | kalshi | /markets/hellas-verona-vs-como-winner-como-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10vercom-com |
| Napoli | 63¢ | −1pp | $48 | kalshi | /markets/napoli-vs-bologna-winner-napoli-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may11napbfc-nap |
| Lecce | 12¢ | ±0 | $47 | kalshi | /markets/lecce-vs-juventus-winner-lecce-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may09lecjuv-lec |
| Hellas Verona | 11¢ | ±0 | $26 | kalshi | /markets/hellas-verona-vs-como-winner-hellas-verona-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10vercom-ver |
| Tie | 27¢ | — | $6 | kalshi | /markets/milan-vs-atalanta-winner-tie-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10acmata-tie |
| Tie | 21¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/napoli-vs-bologna-winner-tie-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may11napbfc-tie |
| Bologna | 14¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/napoli-vs-bologna-winner-bologna-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may11napbfc-bfc |
| Tie | 21¢ | −4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/parma-calcio-vs-roma-winner-tie-kalshi-kxserieagame-26may10parrom-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 31 |
| 2026-05-03 | 34 |
| 2026-05-06 | 38 |
| 2026-05-07 | 36 |
| 2026-05-08 | 31 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Roma +15pp 46→61¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Como +6pp 63→69¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Parma Calcio −5pp 19→14¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Cremonese +4pp 53→57¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Tie −4pp 25→21¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/serieagame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=serieagame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.