# Avellino vs Bari Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 33% across 20 contracts — refreshed 17 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seriebgame
Updated: 2026-05-08T11:05:32.975Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-22

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $5K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modena | 14¢ | +1pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/avellino-vs-modena-winner-modena-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08usamod-mod |
| Venezia | 59¢ | +1pp | $623 | kalshi | /markets/venezia-vs-palermo-winner-venezia-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08venpal-ven |
| Entella | 57¢ | −2pp | $525 | kalshi | /markets/entella-vs-carrarese-winner-entella-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08entcar-ent |
| Catanzaro | 31¢ | +1pp | $488 | kalshi | /markets/catanzaro-vs-bari-winner-catanzaro-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08uscbar-usc |
| Monza | 56¢ | ±0 | $386 | kalshi | /markets/monza-vs-empoli-winner-monza-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08monemp-mon |
| Mantova | 17¢ | +1pp | $304 | kalshi | /markets/frosinone-vs-mantova-winner-mantova-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08froman-man |
| Sampdoria | 43¢ | +1pp | $244 | kalshi | /markets/reggiana-vs-sampdoria-winner-sampdoria-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08regsam-sam |
| Stabia | 15¢ | +1pp | $213 | kalshi | /markets/sudtirol-bolzano-vs-stabia-winner-stabia-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08fcssta-sta |
| Pescara | 43¢ | — | $166 | kalshi | /markets/pescara-vs-spezia-winner-pescara-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08pesspe-pes |
| Palermo | 17¢ | ±0 | $141 | kalshi | /markets/venezia-vs-palermo-winner-palermo-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08venpal-pal |
| Avellino | 59¢ | +6pp | $138 | kalshi | /markets/avellino-vs-modena-winner-avellino-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08usamod-usa |
| Tie | 23¢ | +1pp | $108 | kalshi | /markets/avellino-vs-modena-winner-tie-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08usamod-tie |
| Empoli | 19¢ | +2pp | $85 | kalshi | /markets/monza-vs-empoli-winner-empoli-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08monemp-emp |
| Tie | 22¢ | +1pp | $73 | kalshi | /markets/venezia-vs-palermo-winner-tie-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08venpal-tie |
| Padova | 16¢ | +2pp | $73 | kalshi | /markets/cesena-vs-padova-winner-padova-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08cespad-pad |
| Cesena | 63¢ | −1pp | $69 | kalshi | /markets/cesena-vs-padova-winner-cesena-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08cespad-ces |
| Carrarese | 18¢ | +1pp | $57 | kalshi | /markets/entella-vs-carrarese-winner-carrarese-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08entcar-car |
| Tie | 30¢ | — | $46 | kalshi | /markets/reggiana-vs-sampdoria-winner-tie-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08regsam-tie |
| Tie | 28¢ | +1pp | $32 | kalshi | /markets/catanzaro-vs-bari-winner-tie-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08uscbar-tie |
| Reggiana | 26¢ | +1pp | $22 | kalshi | /markets/reggiana-vs-sampdoria-winner-reggiana-kalshi-kxseriebgame-26may08regsam-reg |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 30 |
| 2026-05-07 | 32 |
| 2026-05-08 | 30 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Cesena +7pp 57→64¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Modena −6pp 20→14¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Avellino +6pp 44→50¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Entella +3pp 57→60¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/seriebgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=seriebgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.