# How many consecutive regular season games will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score 20+ points

> 145+ consecutive games leads at 84%, runner-up 74% across 7 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shai20ptrec
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:38.494Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2028-05-29

## Headline

- Leader: 145+ consecutive games at 84%
- Runner-up: 155+ consecutive games at 74%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $12

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145+ consecutive games | 84¢ | +53pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/how-many-consecutive-regular-season-games-will-sha-kalshi-kxshai20ptrec-2028-145 |
| 155+ consecutive games | 74¢ | +62pp | $12 | kalshi | /markets/how-many-consecutive-regular-season-games-will-sha-kalshi-kxshai20ptrec-2028-155 |
| 165+ consecutive games | 49¢ | +36pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/how-many-consecutive-regular-season-games-will-sha-kalshi-kxshai20ptrec-2028-165 |
| 175+ consecutive games | 34¢ | +30pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/how-many-consecutive-regular-season-games-will-sha-kalshi-kxshai20ptrec-2028-175 |
| 185+ consecutive games | 26¢ | +12pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/how-many-consecutive-regular-season-games-will-sha-kalshi-kxshai20ptrec-2028-185 |
| 195+ consecutive games | 20¢ | +12pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/how-many-consecutive-regular-season-games-will-sha-kalshi-kxshai20ptrec-2028-195 |
| 200+ consecutive games | 16¢ | +10pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/how-many-consecutive-regular-season-games-will-sha-kalshi-kxshai20ptrec-2028-200 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 145+ consecutive games | 155+ consecutive games | 165+ consecutive games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 56 | 53 | 41 |
| 2026-04-24 | 66 | 23 | — |
| 2026-04-26 | 66 | 23 | 8 |
| 2026-05-01 | 13 | 18 | — |
| 2026-05-02 | — | 6 | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 31 | 11 | 13 |
| 2026-05-08 | 84 | 73 | 49 |

_19 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · 155+ consecutive games +62pp 11→73¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · 145+ consecutive games +53pp 31→84¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · 165+ consecutive games +36pp 13→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · 175+ consecutive games +30pp 4→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · 155+ consecutive games −12pp 18→6¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This market is pricing the probability that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will score 20 or more points in a consecutive streak of regular season games at 14%, making it a long-shot outcome. The current probability reflects skepticism about SGA sustaining such a streak, likely driven by two factors: first, scoring 20+ in every consecutive game is exceptionally difficult even for elite players, and second, injuries, rest days, or natural offensive variation typically interrupt extended scoring streaks. The primary catalyst that would shift this probability is the start and progression of the 2026-27 NBA regular season, where real performance data will either validate or refute the streak as it develops. The exact contract definition—which specific streak length is being wagered on—critically determines whether this reflects a realistic assessment or underpricing of SGA's offensive consistency.

### Key factors

- The specific streak length threshold (10, 20, 30+ games) is determinative; longer streaks are exponentially less likely than shorter ones
- SGA's historical scoring consistency and injury history during the 2025-26 season; any offseason injuries or recovery issues would lower streak probability
- NBA schedule factors including back-to-backs, rest management by coaching staff, and games against elite defenses that statistically reduce scoring output
- Betting volume and contract structure; the 6% gap between top contract (14%) and runner-up (8%) suggests meaningful disagreement on streak likelihood
- The 2026-27 regular season start date and SGA's opening performance will provide immediate empirical data to resolve early uncertainty

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shai20ptrec
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shai20ptrec

## License

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