# Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5

> O/U 1.5 leads at 85%, runner-up 69% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 49 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-markets-ou
Updated: 2026-05-03T12:05:47.329Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 85%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 69%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $154

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 85¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1e5ceb71d2fbe14c5f576121a77a821abdc80bab7e6e28a361e7bcea69b9d94f |
| Both Teams to Score | 69¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xb2fdfb8de0743d7ba6a7a5835df26366390bc9537760bbee863cd9faf1fb12fc |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 3.5 | 44¢ | −1pp | $59 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x20d721738ab4675ffa74b9658dd81047ccf230ec9b96336135e3735e94b32fe8 |
| O/U 4.5 | 26¢ | ±0 | $44 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xff2a9ae2fdab6bc541bb122c6e8536fa84672c9535085f8579d0d04d432ccd1f |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 26¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1602b23f36593f063d4bdf5db9da4245b4e51d9bff1ad87aaa3e85c80ca85c4d |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 23¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8d6eb4f5d9e21c96b0f4c100d768dcfa9ea0097371df2529c8c2da80fe4a11cc |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 14¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x15f1cb5e026128283da8ab95718e7d48ae6d7e65681674540cb9fe358f41719f |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) | 11¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xfa1d79e42042a326c79bb4164ff4aaf0f964bfe6fc4195239c680ba8bd478e45 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 83 | 66 | 63 |
| 2026-05-02 | 85 | 69 | 66 |
| 2026-05-03 | — | 70 | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) −10pp 26→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) +8pp 23→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) +6pp 23→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) −5pp 28→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 3.5 +3pp 43→46¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market estimates an 85% probability that the Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC match will produce more than 2.5 total goals. The high probability reflects expectations of an attacking-oriented match typical of Chinese Super League fixtures featuring these competitive sides. The probability is driven by both teams' recent goal-scoring patterns and historical head-to-head outcomes. Market volume remains modest at $52 in 24-hour trading, suggesting limited consensus-building among bettors. The match result will be determined once the final whistle sounds and official goal tallies are recorded, likely resolving within a single day. Shifts in this probability would track changes in team lineup confirmations, injury reports for key attacking players, or adjusted betting activity from professional traders who may have different historical data or tactical assessments.

### Key factors

- Recent goal-scoring rates for both Shandong Taishan and Shanghai Shenhua in their last 5-10 competitive matches
- Availability of key attacking or defensive players for both sides heading into match day
- Historical head-to-head goal totals between these teams over the past 2-3 seasons
- Match venue, weather conditions, and whether either team has motivation considerations (playoff standing, cup positioning)
- Closing line movement and trading volume across multiple platforms 24 hours before kickoff

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-markets-ou

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