# Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 85%, runner-up 68% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:35:17.111Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 85%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 68%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $155

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 85¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1e5ceb71d2fbe14c5f576121a77a821abdc80bab7e6e28a361e7bcea69b9d94f |
| Both Teams to Score | 68¢ | +1pp | $1 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xb2fdfb8de0743d7ba6a7a5835df26366390bc9537760bbee863cd9faf1fb12fc |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 3.5 | 44¢ | −1pp | $59 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x20d721738ab4675ffa74b9658dd81047ccf230ec9b96336135e3735e94b32fe8 |
| O/U 4.5 | 26¢ | ±0 | $44 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xff2a9ae2fdab6bc541bb122c6e8536fa84672c9535085f8579d0d04d432ccd1f |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 21¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1602b23f36593f063d4bdf5db9da4245b4e51d9bff1ad87aaa3e85c80ca85c4d |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 17¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8d6eb4f5d9e21c96b0f4c100d768dcfa9ea0097371df2529c8c2da80fe4a11cc |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xfa1d79e42042a326c79bb4164ff4aaf0f964bfe6fc4195239c680ba8bd478e45 |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 8¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x15f1cb5e026128283da8ab95718e7d48ae6d7e65681674540cb9fe358f41719f |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 83 | 66 | 63 |
| 2026-05-02 | 85 | 69 | 66 |
| 2026-05-03 | — | 70 | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) −10pp 26→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) +8pp 23→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) +6pp 23→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) −5pp 28→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 3.5 +3pp 43→46¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 69% probability indicates market participants believe Shanghai Shenhua FC is favored to win against Shandong Taishan FC in an upcoming Chinese Super League match. However, this headline figure masks disagreement across markets: Polymarket prices Shanghai Shenhua as a narrower favorite (41¢), while the contract showing 69% appears to price either Shenhua victory or a higher-scoring outcome. The main drivers of current pricing are likely recent form, home/away status, and player availability. The probability will shift based on team lineups, injury confirmations, and any weather or scheduling changes announced before kickoff. Resolution occurs when the match concludes and official final score is confirmed, typically within 24 hours of the scheduled game time.

### Key factors

- Shanghai Shenhua's recent league position and points-per-game average versus Shandong Taishan's current standing
- Head-to-head historical record between these clubs over the past 2-3 seasons
- Confirmed player availability, including any key injuries or suspensions for either team
- Home venue advantage (location of the match and recent home/away performance splits)
- Official kick-off time confirmation and any last-minute tactical lineup changes reported before match start

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-markets

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