# Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC

> Shanghai Shenhua FC leads at 41%, runner-up 35% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:50:23.087Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: Shanghai Shenhua FC at 41%
- Runner-up: Shandong Taishan FC at 35%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $63

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41¢ | −1pp | $63 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-shangha-polymarket-0x0f12adbd65214f510e481ce8046e4ee5734fc989a91112d97336a7b76b954df5 |
| Shandong Taishan FC | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-shandon-polymarket-0x11820e64641a61ae7789c65e3ae2f6f7e68192630ef0fabfd50ba5a7852e21ac |
| Draw (Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC) | 24¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-draw-sh-polymarket-0xb941d93e57eabd9775d81cd3914a29e1e4596b4b2911ddb2ca767b0169a04244 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Shanghai Shenhua FC | Shandong Taishan FC | Draw (Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 39 | 35 | 28 |
| 2026-05-02 | 38 | 36 | 25 |
| 2026-05-03 | — | 36 | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Draw (Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC) −3pp 28→25¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The market implies Shanghai Shenhua FC has a 41% chance of winning against Shandong Taishan FC in an upcoming match. This probability reflects the two teams' relative strength, recent form, and head-to-head dynamics. The 35% runner-up probability suggests meaningful uncertainty between the top contenders. Key drivers include each team's current league standing, injury status, and home-field advantage if applicable. The match itself will definitively resolve this contract once final whistle sounds. Supporting markets show traders expect over 2.5 goals at 67% probability, indicating confidence in attacking play. Trading volume of $560 in 24 hours on the primary contract reflects moderate interest in Chinese Super League wagering.

### Key factors

- Shanghai Shenhua FC's current league position and points total relative to Shandong Taishan FC as of early May 2026
- Head-to-head record and goal differential between these two clubs in recent seasons
- Availability of key players due to injury, suspension, or international call-ups for each squad
- Home vs. away performance records this season for both teams; whether the match is played at neutral, home, or away venue
- The 67% over 2.5 goals probability suggests expected attacking approach, which may correlate with either team's defensive vulnerabilities

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc

## License

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