# Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5

> Closed. Last odds frozen 2 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-more
Updated: 2026-05-07T06:35:43.886Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 79%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 57%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $216

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 79¢ | −11pp | $150 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x06629a1f9fbaf58128dcb6ed3d69295f5a385fa5028fec4bd4b917f72d1ecd4f |
| O/U 2.5 | 57¢ | — | $28 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x64562d2a13d04c9e590ca640c26a2f7cce42de7a8e7a0056e3ffc7c4226092f6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x9ba015e4d0a91abd09a2c87e3c8adac407897dd2879747c7ea008fb97a7ed92d |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5) | 34¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0xaa75cdf21ed9b67025fbf68eded13284a8f0767371dac862939d1b7915a98883 |
| O/U 3.5 | 33¢ | −15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x71de7814d6c613f015d7c76b0cf78e0b6b91f84411b2aba63b35dd5eda75f592 |
| O/U 4.5 | 16¢ | — | $38 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x17c39c9adf6dd9741c50a44d6f7a31ea9f21381eff710ad23f3e705f49f3a344 |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5) | 16¢ | −15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x8f94765fe1adb522cc2593e2e7f12f319e0b24ff5aab889f687108dde6100be2 |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5) | 7¢ | −14pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x29a5a0f847cc8312325b63f05d16739d34d9ade41b595665b054c4580b96d6f3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 78 | — | — |
| 2026-05-06 | 67 | 39 | 45 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · O/U 3.5 −15pp 35→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5) −15pp 32→17¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5) −14pp 23→9¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · O/U 1.5 −11pp 78→67¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5) +6pp 17→23¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market is pricing a 78% probability that the Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC match will produce more than 1.5 goals. The high probability reflects expectations of a relatively open, goal-heavy contest. Factors driving this level include the attacking capabilities and recent form of both teams, defensive vulnerabilities that might be exposed, and historical scoring patterns in Chinese Super League matchups. The resolution depends entirely on the final match result on the scheduled date. Movement in this probability would likely stem from team news (injuries to key forwards or defenders), confirmed lineups closer to kickoff, or updated injury reports that shift expectations about either team's attacking or defensive strength.

### Key factors

- Recent goal-scoring output for Shanghai Haigang FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC in their last 5-10 matches compared to season averages
- Availability of key offensive and defensive players, particularly whether starting strikers or first-choice defenders are fit and available
- Head-to-head historical scoring patterns between these two teams in previous matchups
- Current defensive record and goals-conceded rates for both teams this season
- Weather conditions and pitch quality on match day, which can materially affect attacking play and goal frequency

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-more
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-more

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