# Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 36% across 20 contracts — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:35:15.943Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 36% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $563

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41¢ | −1pp | $63 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-shangha-polymarket-0x0f12adbd65214f510e481ce8046e4ee5734fc989a91112d97336a7b76b954df5 |
| O/U 3.5 | 44¢ | −1pp | $59 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x20d721738ab4675ffa74b9658dd81047ccf230ec9b96336135e3735e94b32fe8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 4.5 | 26¢ | ±0 | $44 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xff2a9ae2fdab6bc541bb122c6e8536fa84672c9535085f8579d0d04d432ccd1f |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 61¢ | −4pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-chengdu-polymarket-0x6c60acc50474a4a4c0433599ebd0985ed84a4bed0c3c704107cd5ed0c366e575 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| Both Teams to Score | 68¢ | +1pp | $1 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xb2fdfb8de0743d7ba6a7a5835df26366390bc9537760bbee863cd9faf1fb12fc |
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x796d0b933764a3bc48b0009b04375a6c9c1224a834fa760e6f521695f86e4310 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5) | 34¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x069e2b9a3e65104909d365470d3ce07fd6b91dea5136ddd36b172f02fa91e280 |
| O/U 1.5 | 85¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1e5ceb71d2fbe14c5f576121a77a821abdc80bab7e6e28a361e7bcea69b9d94f |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 8¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x15f1cb5e026128283da8ab95718e7d48ae6d7e65681674540cb9fe358f41719f |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 21¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1602b23f36593f063d4bdf5db9da4245b4e51d9bff1ad87aaa3e85c80ca85c4d |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xfa1d79e42042a326c79bb4164ff4aaf0f964bfe6fc4195239c680ba8bd478e45 |
| O/U 3.5 | 30¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x82156713db504fa2705c1ff9ce5c00f07f9e142ed44f3c47d645161336c577e8 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x691544e2f6cbc85be5e0a5bf08bd8c7f51c2a8d2b626d6f63dafb62360616208 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xd79dfebaca45de486c711df7ef97657def0ff910ce0302f037b71716deb6f845 |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 17¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8d6eb4f5d9e21c96b0f4c100d768dcfa9ea0097371df2529c8c2da80fe4a11cc |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5) | 16¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x45e030f23009132654bc0587068797b39b2abc38de5613ea77ad712c63f5a07f |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 5¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1da10fb00a9e9cf7001b543bdc336af0cd1b788456be443cc5955b3f7f30ed87 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 41 |
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 37 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) −10pp 26→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5) −10pp 32→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) +8pp 23→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) +6pp 23→29¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-markets

## License

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