# Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 79%, runner-up 56% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 5 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-more
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:14.134Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 79%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 56%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $677

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 79¢ | ±0 | $122 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-polymarket-0xfdc0da6284a45a9142e717e5cef11d69bfcd9793b295ba6accf1c04c136c57c9 |
| O/U 2.5 | 56¢ | +1pp | $152 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-polymarket-0x134fdc59674e23cddcf5ee4085af566f647392786e0574b69f0392c103040492 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | +1pp | $186 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-polymarket-0x7baa80486e7af1c6e61bfe87b27f1146a1a415118d2e2aad43d4f2abe54c1fb6 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 38¢ | +1pp | $42 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-polymarket-0xafcbde7abab35d3dd052a22688c9d15875d2354a55e7a50141353849ff2097d2 |
| O/U 3.5 | 33¢ | ±0 | $172 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-polymarket-0x6d5e88f32b5ec7e7166de0a7010e7d8821da041dabeb0b4b1e1f589b40b22817 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) | 19¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-polymarket-0x670030d4d4972df47cb9e0f5e9b3697fa54f01e4397318a65dcb488062e6c43a |
| O/U 4.5 | 17¢ | +1pp | $1 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-polymarket-0xf700e33642cef5d852be6227fa224dabf6ee379bec58ee1d621359e395543a59 |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5) | 5¢ | ±0 | $2 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-polymarket-0xf2d04099e19b2a6966f1c67a5c30e2d763410a81e8b5ccb8dfeb9d21e2f26dc7 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 80 | 57 | 52 |
| 2026-05-07 | 80 | 58 | 51 |
| 2026-05-08 | 80 | 56 | 52 |
| 2026-05-09 | 80 | 57 | 53 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5) −5pp 11→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) +3pp 19→22¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This 65% probability reflects market expectation that Shanghai Shenhua FC will win their upcoming match against Chongqing Tonglianglong FC. The leading assessment favors Shanghai, likely based on recent team performance, squad quality, or home-field advantage if applicable. The gap between the leading contract (65%) and runner-up (51%) suggests some disagreement among participants about Shanghai's true winning chances. Key factors determining the outcome include each team's current form, injury status, head-to-head history, and tactical matchups. The match itself will resolve the uncertainty once played, with the result determining which contracts settle in-the-money.

### Key factors

- Shanghai Shenhua FC's recent win-loss record and current league standing compared to Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
- Availability of key players for both teams at match time, particularly any injuries or suspensions affecting starting lineups
- Historical head-to-head performance between these two clubs and any patterns in how they match up tactically
- Home-field advantage and venue conditions if the match is played at one team's stadium
- Current betting line discrepancies across major sportsbooks, which may indicate whether 65% aligns with or diverges from broader market sentiment

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-more
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-more

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.