# Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 38% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:35:52.259Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 38% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $237

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41¢ | −1pp | $63 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-shangha-polymarket-0x0f12adbd65214f510e481ce8046e4ee5734fc989a91112d97336a7b76b954df5 |
| O/U 3.5 | 44¢ | −1pp | $59 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x20d721738ab4675ffa74b9658dd81047ccf230ec9b96336135e3735e94b32fe8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 4.5 | 26¢ | ±0 | $44 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xff2a9ae2fdab6bc541bb122c6e8536fa84672c9535085f8579d0d04d432ccd1f |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | ±0 | $10 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8c7c03c972df3c78569568b6d77b24c6d573ba28a550321416fef8f87b53b8bb |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $9 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x4612ca5173a5a4fcf85507aeb04a8592bc10dda7e82aa160ccf2a48ee08c3182 |
| Both Teams to Score | 68¢ | +1pp | $1 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xb2fdfb8de0743d7ba6a7a5835df26366390bc9537760bbee863cd9faf1fb12fc |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 21¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1602b23f36593f063d4bdf5db9da4245b4e51d9bff1ad87aaa3e85c80ca85c4d |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) | 24¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x68a5efb32f51a94834a60e1e79068b17262315d8dcb8f52ba6f967870ccfcb41 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x0d83fdd44cf54b1b66c7f96e683ca487980275d68a67b0d606d3a3fcaa7c83c0 |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5) | 23¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x1331748e4af315398975ca30318f6e19909b47a3f281539d62ca5f7b25672281 |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) | 16¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0xe6edf9359ec8f3ca84b5a1d474edd4a7b574194365db9a5b0ec0756162d2c991 |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x09142591c531b9321c5237ee59cfad2011a123a0a3bad39becc20ffa835755b9 |
| O/U 1.5 | 78¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0xa6d2ed5ae5c5a9f3b67c323f81a8216deee79032e11085e5848626609519c989 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x3b694c4fb8c0dd7ba77236853ba91a7d7dc8ae94d16642105f47667b68b62e12 |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5) | 31¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x9559fd3f08ed6ff16d17ffc65d1b32b6eabb5eca2348f004b79e1881ab41f68f |
| O/U 1.5 | 87¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1e5ceb71d2fbe14c5f576121a77a821abdc80bab7e6e28a361e7bcea69b9d94f |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xfa1d79e42042a326c79bb4164ff4aaf0f964bfe6fc4195239c680ba8bd478e45 |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 17¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8d6eb4f5d9e21c96b0f4c100d768dcfa9ea0097371df2529c8c2da80fe4a11cc |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 8¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x15f1cb5e026128283da8ab95718e7d48ae6d7e65681674540cb9fe358f41719f |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 43 |
| 2026-05-02 | 39 |
| 2026-05-03 | 34 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) −10pp 26→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) +8pp 23→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) +6pp 23→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) +6pp 26→32¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) −5pp 28→23¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shanghai-shenhua-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-markets

## License

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