# Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 34% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-vs-liaoning-tieren-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:35:53.506Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 34% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Tieren FC | 16¢ | +1pp | $392 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-liaonin-polymarket-0x76793744c55b6f396dfdf0e4eab54c2c1218d025b5f56e00a0f5c6bd834c230b |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5) | 5¢ | +1pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x96f32023de6849c3033393333b77628088f3c2a0b52bb2acee6a5d9fdad471c5 |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 61¢ | −4pp | $63 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-chengdu-polymarket-0x6c60acc50474a4a4c0433599ebd0985ed84a4bed0c3c704107cd5ed0c366e575 |
| O/U 2.5 | 56¢ | — | $14 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x64562d2a13d04c9e590ca640c26a2f7cce42de7a8e7a0056e3ffc7c4226092f6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | −1pp | $9 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| O/U 1.5 | 78¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x796d0b933764a3bc48b0009b04375a6c9c1224a834fa760e6f521695f86e4310 |
| O/U 3.5 | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x71de7814d6c613f015d7c76b0cf78e0b6b91f84411b2aba63b35dd5eda75f592 |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5) | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0xaa75cdf21ed9b67025fbf68eded13284a8f0767371dac862939d1b7915a98883 |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5) | 23¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x8f94765fe1adb522cc2593e2e7f12f319e0b24ff5aab889f687108dde6100be2 |
| O/U 4.5 | 17¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x17c39c9adf6dd9741c50a44d6f7a31ea9f21381eff710ad23f3e705f49f3a344 |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x82156713db504fa2705c1ff9ce5c00f07f9e142ed44f3c47d645161336c577e8 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5) | 34¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x069e2b9a3e65104909d365470d3ce07fd6b91dea5136ddd36b172f02fa91e280 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x9ba015e4d0a91abd09a2c87e3c8adac407897dd2879747c7ea008fb97a7ed92d |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5) | 15¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x45e030f23009132654bc0587068797b39b2abc38de5613ea77ad712c63f5a07f |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x691544e2f6cbc85be5e0a5bf08bd8c7f51c2a8d2b626d6f63dafb62360616208 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xd79dfebaca45de486c711df7ef97657def0ff910ce0302f037b71716deb6f845 |
| O/U 1.5 | 79¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x06629a1f9fbaf58128dcb6ed3d69295f5a385fa5028fec4bd4b917f72d1ecd4f |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5) | 15¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x29a5a0f847cc8312325b63f05d16739d34d9ade41b595665b054c4580b96d6f3 |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 5¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1da10fb00a9e9cf7001b543bdc336af0cd1b788456be443cc5955b3f7f30ed87 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 38 |
| 2026-05-02 | 36 |
| 2026-05-03 | 33 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5) −10pp 32→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC −9pp 25→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5) +6pp 17→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −5pp 17→12¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-vs-liaoning-tieren-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-vs-liaoning-tieren-fc-more-markets

## License

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