# Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 36% across 20 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-vs-liaoning-tieren-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:05:53.938Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 36% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Tieren FC | 13¢ | +1pp | $853 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-liaonin-polymarket-0x76793744c55b6f396dfdf0e4eab54c2c1218d025b5f56e00a0f5c6bd834c230b |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5) | 5¢ | +1pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x96f32023de6849c3033393333b77628088f3c2a0b52bb2acee6a5d9fdad471c5 |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 65¢ | −4pp | $49 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-chengdu-polymarket-0x6c60acc50474a4a4c0433599ebd0985ed84a4bed0c3c704107cd5ed0c366e575 |
| O/U 2.5 | 56¢ | — | $6 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x64562d2a13d04c9e590ca640c26a2f7cce42de7a8e7a0056e3ffc7c4226092f6 |
| Shanghai Haigang FC | 62¢ | +5pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-sh-polymarket-0xa0abb958d6d1ad8643e3975bffb67432928aab4d1c4cd9d6162708a6a31e77bd |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 17¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-sh-polymarket-0xc09bd520a896897f49bb5fa423f6883e4ccf9ab3ab7c40b9c303e1c378bd6667 |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| O/U 1.5 | 78¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x796d0b933764a3bc48b0009b04375a6c9c1224a834fa760e6f521695f86e4310 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xd79dfebaca45de486c711df7ef97657def0ff910ce0302f037b71716deb6f845 |
| O/U 1.5 | 79¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x06629a1f9fbaf58128dcb6ed3d69295f5a385fa5028fec4bd4b917f72d1ecd4f |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 4¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1da10fb00a9e9cf7001b543bdc336af0cd1b788456be443cc5955b3f7f30ed87 |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5) | 23¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x8f94765fe1adb522cc2593e2e7f12f319e0b24ff5aab889f687108dde6100be2 |
| O/U 3.5 | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x71de7814d6c613f015d7c76b0cf78e0b6b91f84411b2aba63b35dd5eda75f592 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5) | 20¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x45e030f23009132654bc0587068797b39b2abc38de5613ea77ad712c63f5a07f |
| O/U 4.5 | 16¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x691544e2f6cbc85be5e0a5bf08bd8c7f51c2a8d2b626d6f63dafb62360616208 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5) | 39¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x069e2b9a3e65104909d365470d3ce07fd6b91dea5136ddd36b172f02fa91e280 |
| Draw (Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC) | 21¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-dr-polymarket-0x774484a5523c6daa18660566db9b7f397aae877ed426140d624484440fd89dc5 |
| O/U 3.5 | 33¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x82156713db504fa2705c1ff9ce5c00f07f9e142ed44f3c47d645161336c577e8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x9ba015e4d0a91abd09a2c87e3c8adac407897dd2879747c7ea008fb97a7ed92d |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 39 |
| 2026-05-02 | 37 |
| 2026-05-03 | 34 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5) −10pp 32→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC −9pp 25→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC −8pp 30→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Draw (Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC) −8pp 29→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-vs-liaoning-tieren-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-vs-liaoning-tieren-fc

## License

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