# Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Nagoya Grampus - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 32% across 20 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shimizu-spulse-vs-nagoya-grampus-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:05:54.735Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $20

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | — | $15 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd2a2424ae02003bbb337e656c3987b2b1d12ad9aad7fb9edb5868b6fa5a444ad |
| Nagoya Grampus | 38¢ | +1pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-nagoya-grampus-polymarket-0x25132a85784c8a4d7e9033d1b409b60703b4985d5404a86669c3e9b22c0dc79e |
| Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5) | 13¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-shimiz-polymarket-0xc33d1c5ce506ddb23d75e315a0dc7191503b35752a13331c1bb03b4e0f2e62ae |
| O/U 4.5 | 15¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x8f53ed6beec70830c11ea974cb923f308725be3fe2e6fffb4ef8f2e2940e5fd7 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0xfb2380378688704b47494565f0cefde372a42d15936b8d92a9350bfe9e8afa88 |
| Gamba Ōsaka (-2.5) | 12¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-more-markets-gamba-sa-polymarket-0xa4181124cdfbaaec195dd2665c734963f1e390267c4c321eb161640f93743aa9 |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x9ba5763b1bbf6ee6a9a955e7b7d579cb4ca2664bb4772744f035dd9fbea95369 |
| Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5) | 14¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-more-markets-gamba-sa-polymarket-0x97c68a154393c087eef54aa2afd6a2705e4ec25a08f8c01ad141b53ca8510456 |
| O/U 3.5 | 29¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xec59e7436c79b9327cf1b9416da41ee55e799520f89361d59944360a652c8852 |
| Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5) | 12¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-cerezo-polymarket-0xbf161f60415e3e1fcbafa287b25cd8af8d21cc294931ae609a766e80193eec44 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x164f65bdba63b31b0fe7b75fed96ea69c9a6aba1d5daf015c3c6e417b85e9ef8 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xe57d5ef3322ea2c9e06b55f96c797d127a6f99dff16c551f4067262033acf288 |
| Nagoya Grampus (-1.5) | 16¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-more-markets-nagoya-g-polymarket-0x0524ea5d7f1c73584bdce3de66b22fb30eacd6a1ef0bc3b034e5e9e3d3be9f8d |
| Both Teams to Score | 57¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x6cfc8d4ea986763ba0a10eacb817822ac38af23c8d9d5c31d3a98358ab1f7b8f |
| Nagoya Grampus (-2.5) | 13¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-more-markets-nagoya-g-polymarket-0x0a811879a31f5a3a43f79b658cfc5b4c22d780bef0efae98d73e39c0f4b1d88b |
| Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5) | 17¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-shimiz-polymarket-0x58a32c1a02227c98b8f87cbe8d4ae68c2fd5c63177f81dbcd5d059cf06b77fa2 |
| Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-cerezo-polymarket-0x3391937d9b697a5bd01565766582c3bf31c8227da2901e673fdf86f17afc6144 |
| O/U 1.5 | 77¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x699392956e8574b0068655f04c86340395da905db9a0a1c83691c96f140376a7 |
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc12420d54a5f52a0e3e6b567c04c4a504cb40f1dfc473234c15c5c8db9fda052 |
| Draw (Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka) | 28¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nagoya-grampus-vs-gamba-saka-draw-nagoya-grampus-v-polymarket-0xde13b831cf6d625d075855437b09acca2677cae557c1f8118fdef77786dab1c5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 38 |
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5) +3pp 30→33¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5) +3pp 28→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Nagoya Grampus (-2.5) +3pp 34→37¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/shimizu-spulse-vs-nagoya-grampus-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=shimizu-spulse-vs-nagoya-grampus-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.